Ceredigion Crime Rate January 2025 | Monthly Statistics

In January 2025, Ceredigion recorded a crime rate of 6.5 per 1,000 residents, placing it 8.5% below the UK average of 7.1 per 1,000. This figure translates to roughly one crime for every 154 residents over the course of the month, a metric that offers a tangible sense of risk for local residents. The area’s crime profile is shaped by seasonal dynamics typical of January—a post-holiday period marked by shorter days and reduced retail footfall, which may partly explain the relatively low levels of shoplifting and vehicle crime compared to busier months. However, the most prevalent crime category was violence and sexual offences, which accounted for 47.2% of all reported crimes. This category is 24% above the UK average, suggesting a localised concentration of incidents that may be influenced by factors such as social patterns or community-specific challenges. Criminal damage and arson followed closely, making up 12.3% of crimes and exceeding the UK average by 57%. These findings highlight a distinct contrast between Ceredigion’s crime picture and the national average, with property crimes overall underrepresented compared to the UK context. The area’s rural character likely contributes to this divergence, as lower population density and fewer urban centres may alter the distribution of crime types compared to more densely populated regions. While the overall rate is lower than the UK average, the elevated rates in violent and property-related crimes indicate areas for targeted attention, particularly in addressing the root causes of violence and anti-social behaviour that dominate the local crime profile.

January 2025 saw notable shifts in Ceredigion’s crime profile, with certain categories experiencing significant month-on-month changes. Other theft rose sharply by 111.1%, jumping from 18 to 38 incidents—a jump that may reflect increased activity in unsecured properties or changes in local economic conditions. Similarly, possession of weapons surged by 100%, from 3 to 6 cases, a figure that is 67% above the UK average. This increase could be linked to post-holiday factors or seasonal patterns affecting local law enforcement priorities. In contrast, theft from the person dropped by 80%, from 5 to 1 incident, due to reduced foot traffic in retail areas or heightened awareness during the post-Christmas period. Other crime also fell by 42.9%, from 14 to 8 cases, though this category remains 44% below the UK average. The balance of crime types also reveals striking differences compared to the national picture: violence and sexual offences, though lower than the UK rate in some categories, remain high in Ceredigion. This is particularly evident in drugs-related crime, which is 131% above the UK average at 0.6 per 1,000. Such disparities may reflect localised challenges, such as the impact of rural isolation on access to support services or the influence of transient populations. For residents, these figures highlight that while the overall risk of encountering crime is lower than the UK average, certain areas of concern—such as violence and drug-related incidents—require closer attention.

Ceredigion’s crime rate in January 2025 rose by 25.9% compared to the previous month, moving from 5.1 to 6.5 per 1,000 residents. This increase, though modest in absolute terms, translates to a daily crime count of 15 incidents over the 31-day period—a figure that, while lower than the UK average in some categories, underscores the need for continuous monitoring. When viewed through a population-scaled lens, the monthly exposure to crime in Ceredigion means that one resident in every 154 experienced a reported crime during January. This metric provides a concrete way to assess risk, particularly for families or individuals concerned about safety in their local area. The comparison to the UK average further illustrates Ceredigion’s unique position: while the overall rate is lower, certain crime types such as violence and drugs-related offences are significantly above the national benchmark. Conversely, categories like burglary and shoplifting are below UK levels, reflecting the area’s rural character and lower population density. These contrasts suggest that local factors—such as community cohesion, policing strategies, or economic conditions—play a crucial role in shaping crime patterns. For residents, understanding these comparisons helps contextualise the risk of encountering crime, offering reassurance in some areas while highlighting the need for targeted interventions in others.