Ceredigion Crime Rate March 2025 | Monthly Statistics

March 2025 saw an unexpected surge in theft from the person, bicycle theft, and robbery in Ceredigion, all increasing from zero to one or four incidents—a 100% rise compared to February. This spike stands out against a broader trend of declining crime rates, with the overall crime rate at 5.5 per 1,000 residents, 29.5% below the UK average of 7.8 per 1,000. The most prevalent crime type was violence and sexual offences, accounting for 42.7% of all reported crimes, followed by drugs (10.1%) and public order offences (9.6%). These figures contrast sharply with the UK average for violence and sexual offences, which is 2.7 per 1,000—Ceredigion’s rate is 16% lower. The seasonal transition to spring may have influenced patterns, with longer evenings potentially increasing opportunities for certain crimes. However, the sharp increase in theft from the person and bicycle theft defies immediate explanation, as these categories were previously absent in the data. The area’s relatively low overall crime rate, despite the violent crime prevalence, suggests a combination of local factors, such as community policing efforts or geographic characteristics that may mitigate other types of crime. The low rate of vehicle crime (3 incidents, 100% below the UK average) and possession of weapons (2 incidents, 100% below the UK average) further highlight the area’s distinct profile compared to national trends.

March 2025 marked a stark contrast in crime trends for Ceredigion, with three categories—theft from the person, bicycle theft, and robbery—jumping from zero to one or four incidents, a 100% increase compared to February. This sudden emergence of these crimes, which had not been recorded in the previous month, raises questions about specific triggers, such as changes in local activity or temporary vulnerabilities. Meanwhile, vehicle crime dropped by 57.1% (from seven to three incidents), and possession of weapons fell by 33.3% (from three to two incidents), indicating possible reductions in targeted criminal behavior. The drugs category stood out as 122% above the UK average, with 40 incidents reported (0.6 per 1,000 residents), a figure that may reflect localized factors such as increased illicit activity or shifts in drug trade patterns. Conversely, violent crime remained the dominant category, with 169 incidents (2.3 per 1,000 residents) and 42.7% of all crimes, though this rate was still 16% below the UK average. These figures underscore a mix of rising and falling trends, with the surge in theft-related crimes presenting a notable anomaly for the area.

Ceredigion’s crime rate in March 2025 rose by 10.3% compared to February’s 4.9 per 1,000, though it remains significantly lower than the UK average. Over the course of the month, 396 crimes were reported, equating to roughly 13 crimes per day—a rate that, while steady, is a local figure with no direct UK equivalent for daily comparisons. On a monthly scale, one reported crime occurred for every 183 residents, a figure that contextualizes the likelihood of encountering crime for individuals in the area. This monthly exposure rate is lower than the UK average, which would be higher given Ceredigion’s overall crime rate is 29.5% below the national figure. The population of 72,599 further scales these numbers, showing that the rate of 5.5 per 1,000 is a reflection of both the area’s size and its unique crime dynamics. While the increase in theft-related crimes may seem concerning, the broader context of low rates in categories like vehicle crime and possession of weapons suggests that Ceredigion’s crime profile remains distinct from more densely populated or high-crime regions. This comparison reinforces the area’s position as relatively safe compared to the UK average, despite the notable spikes in certain categories.