The question of what future crime trends are predicted for Ifold, Chichester, requires careful consideration of the available data. Currently, Ifold, classified as a Built-Up Area (BUA) with a population of 1667, exhibits a concerning upward trend in crime. The crime rate stands at 22.2 incidents per 1,000 residents. This is notably lower than the UK average of 91.6 per 1,000, suggesting Ifold is comparatively safer. However, the trend itself is a key factor for future predictions.
The most significant aspect is the observed increase in crime. Data indicates a year-on-year (YoY) increase of 5.7% in reported incidents. While this percentage might seem small, its consistent rise over time is a cause for attention. It’s important to remember that crime data can fluctuate, and a single year’s trend doesn’t guarantee a long-term pattern. Nevertheless, this 5.7% increase signals a potential shift in the area’s safety profile.
Despite the rising trend, Ifold maintains a commendable safety score of 95 out of 100, far exceeding the UK average of 79. This high score suggests that while the crime rate is increasing, the overall level of safety remains high. It's crucial to understand that the safety score is likely based on a composite of factors beyond just crime statistics, potentially including community cohesion, perceived safety, and infrastructure.
Predicting future crime trends is inherently complex. Extrapolating the current 5.7% YoY increase would suggest further rises in the coming years. However, several factors could influence this trajectory. These include changes in policing strategies, community engagement initiatives, economic conditions, and demographic shifts within Ifold. Without further data and analysis, a precise prediction is impossible. It's also important to note that a low base crime rate (like Ifold’s) can make percentage increases appear more significant than they are in absolute terms.