Kinmel Bay Crime Rate October 2025 | Monthly Statistics

For every 1,000 residents in Kinmel Bay, 8.8 crimes occurred in October 2025—14.3% above the UK average of 7.7 per 1,000. This translates to a 1-in-114 chance of a resident experiencing a reported crime over the course of the month. The data reveals a stark contrast in crime types: 67.9% of incidents were violence and sexual offences, 8.3% anti-social behaviour, and 7.1% criminal damage. Violent crimes alone were 126% above the UK average, with 57 incidents recorded—a rate of 6.0 per 1,000 residents. This pattern may partly explain the area’s elevated risk profile compared to the national average. October’s seasonal context—darker evenings, Halloween, and clocks going back—could influence crime dynamics. The low levels of vehicle crime (52% below UK average) and shoplifting (84% below UK average) suggest that Kinmel Bay’s relatively small retail footprint and lower foot traffic may contribute to these trends. However, the significant rise in violent crimes compared to the UK average raises questions about local factors, such as community dynamics or policing priorities, that might warrant further consideration.

October 2025 saw a 21.3% increase in violence and sexual offences, rising from 47 to 57 incidents. This jump—despite an overall 6.7% monthly decline in crime rates—highlights a concerning shift in the crime mix, with violent crimes now accounting for 67.9% of all reported incidents. Anti-social behaviour dropped by 53.3% (from 15 to 7 cases), while shoplifting fell 66.7% (from 3 to 1). These decreases could reflect seasonal factors, such as shorter evenings reducing opportunities for public disorder. However, the 100% rise in 'other crime' and bicycle theft—both reaching 1 incident—suggests emerging trends that may require closer monitoring. Violent crime rates in Kinmel Bay remain starkly disproportionate to the UK average, with 6.0 per 1,000 residents compared to the national 2.7 per 1,000. This 126% gap underscores the area’s unique challenges, though localised factors like community density or policing strategies could play a role. For residents, the most immediate concern is the elevated risk of violent encounters, which now dominate the crime profile.

Kinmel Bay’s October 2025 crime rate of 8.8 per 1,000 residents marks a 6.7% decrease from September’s 9.4 per 1,000. Over the 31-day period, this equated to roughly 3 crimes per day—a figure that may seem high to some but aligns with the area’s relatively small population of 9,575. When scaled to individual risk, the monthly exposure rate of 1 crime per 114 residents provides context for residents: over the course of October, each resident had a 0.0088 probability of being directly involved in a reported crime. This figure is higher than the UK average, which would translate to roughly 1 in 131 residents. The population-scaled perspective reveals that Kinmel Bay’s crime burden is higher than the national average, particularly in violent crimes. While daily crime counts are useful for understanding immediate risk, the monthly aggregate highlights a broader pattern of elevated violence and sexual offences. Residents may find the 1-in-114 statistic more relatable than raw numbers, though it’s important to note that many crimes involve multiple individuals or are not directly linked to any single resident.