The long-term trend of crime rates in Cirencester, within the Cotswold district, has been increasing. Based on available data, the crime rate currently stands at 100.7 incidents per 1,000 residents. This is notably higher than the UK average of 91.6 incidents per 1,000 residents. While a single data point doesn’t establish a definitive long-term pattern, the year-on-year (YoY) increase of 6.2% suggests a concerning upward trend.
Understanding the context is vital. Cirencester’s population is 17,646, which is a relatively small urban area. Small population fluctuations can significantly impact crime rate calculations, as even a small number of incidents can proportionally increase the rate. The safety score for Cirencester is 78 out of 100, which is slightly below the UK average of 79. This score likely reflects the recent rise in reported crime.
The 6.2% year-on-year increase is the most significant indicator of a current trend. It's important to note that crime statistics can be influenced by various factors, including changes in reporting practices, increased police presence, and evolving definitions of what constitutes a crime. While this data provides a snapshot of the situation, it doesn't reveal the specific types of crimes contributing to the increase. Further investigation into the nature of these crimes would be necessary to understand the underlying causes and formulate targeted preventative strategies. It's also worth noting that the data represents the BUA (Built-up Area) of Cirencester, and may not fully represent the wider Cotswold district.
While the crime rate is higher than the UK average, and the trend is increasing, Cirencester remains a relatively safe place to live. However, residents should remain vigilant and take precautions to protect themselves and their property. Checking local police updates and community safety initiatives can also provide valuable information and support.