Cirencester Crime Rate November 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Cirencester's crime rate for November 2023 stands at 8.2 per 1,000 residents, placing it 9.3% above the UK average of 7.5 per 1,000. This figure highlights a distinct pattern in the area's crime profile compared to the national picture. The most prevalent crime type was violence and sexual offences, accounting for 34.7% of all reported incidents, followed by anti-social behaviour (16.0%) and other theft (13.9%). These figures contrast sharply with UK averages, where violence and sexual offences are 8% below the national rate, and anti-social behaviour is 24% below. The spike in other theft and shoplifting—both significantly above UK averages—suggests a seasonal influence, possibly linked to Black Friday shopping activity and the darker evenings of November. While the area's built-up nature within the Cotswolds may contribute to higher foot traffic in retail zones, the elevated rates of anti-social behaviour and public order offences could reflect the social dynamics of a mixed-use town with a blend of historic and modern infrastructure. The seasonal context of November, marked by Bonfire Night and the early onset of winter, likely amplifies certain crime patterns, particularly in areas with high pedestrian activity or limited lighting. These factors, combined with the area's role as a commuter hub and tourist destination, may help explain the divergence from UK averages.

November 2023 saw significant shifts in Cirencester's crime profile, with other theft and shoplifting experiencing the most dramatic increases. Other theft rose by 185.7%, jumping from seven to 20 incidents, while shoplifting increased by 35.7% (14 to 19). These surges, particularly in shoplifting, align with the timing of Black Friday promotions and the extended shopping period, which may have drawn more visitors to local retail areas. Conversely, burglary and vehicle crime declined sharply, with burglary dropping 85.7% (from seven to one) and vehicle crime falling 60% (from 10 to four). The decrease in burglary could reflect improved security measures or seasonal factors, such as reduced outdoor activity during colder months. Anti-social behaviour also fell by 34.3% (from 35 to 23), though this category remains 24% above the UK average. The breakdown of crime types reveals a stark contrast to UK levels, with anti-social behaviour and shoplifting both exceeding national averages by over 100%. For residents, the rise in shoplifting underscores the need for vigilance in high-traffic retail areas, particularly during peak shopping periods. Meanwhile, the drop in vehicle crime may indicate effective local policing or the impact of reduced parking congestion during November.

Cirencester's crime rate in November 2023 fell to 8.2 per 1,000, a 10% decrease from the previous month's rate of 9.1 per 1,000. This decline, while modest, suggests a potential stabilization in the area's crime trends after a period of fluctuation. On a daily basis, the town experienced approximately five reported crimes per day, a figure that, while local to Cirencester, offers a tangible sense of the frequency of incidents in a community of 17,646 residents. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 123 residents, highlighting the relatively low monthly exposure compared to the overall rate. This statistic, when contextualized with the population, illustrates that the vast majority of residents are not directly affected by crime on a daily basis. However, the 9.3% gap between Cirencester's rate and the UK average indicates that the area's crime profile is not entirely representative of the national trend. While the UK average for violence and sexual offences is 2.6 per 1,000, Cirencester's rate of 2.8 per 1,000 suggests a slightly higher risk in this category. The comparison also reveals that Cirencester's anti-social behaviour rate is 24% above the UK average, a disparity that may reflect local challenges in managing community interactions within a built-up area. These figures, when viewed alongside the population-scaled perspective, provide a nuanced understanding of how Cirencester's crime trends both align with and diverge from the broader UK context.