Cirencester Crime Rate November 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Cirencester’s November 2024 crime rate (6.9 per 1,000 residents) places the area 9.2% below the UK average (7.6 per 1,000), a distinction that positions it as one of the safer built-up areas in the Cotswold region. Violence and sexual offences (38 incidents, 31.4% of total crimes) remain the most prevalent category, followed by anti-social behaviour (33 incidents, 27.3%). This pattern aligns with the area’s character as a historic market town with a mix of residential and retail spaces, which may contribute to both interpersonal disputes and public order issues. The seasonal context of November—marked by Bonfire Night, Black Friday shopping, and increasingly dark evenings—likely influenced crime patterns. For instance, the sharp rise in shoplifting (12 incidents, 9.9% of total) may be attributed to the timing of major retail promotions, while the 71% increase in anti-social behaviour compared to the UK average could reflect heightened social activity during local events. Violent crime rates (2.2 per 1,000) are 15% below the UK average, a figure that may be partly explained by the area’s relatively low population density and strong community policing efforts. However, the significant spike in anti-social behaviour underscores the need for targeted strategies to manage public order, particularly during peak event periods. The overall crime rate, while lower than the national average, shows a 15.3% month-on-month increase, suggesting that seasonal factors may have temporarily elevated incidents. This data illustrates the combination of local demographics, economic activity, and environmental conditions in shaping crime trends, even in areas with historically low rates.

November 2024 saw sharp increases in vehicle crime (+150%), burglary (+150%), and shoplifting (+100%), likely tied to seasonal factors such as Black Friday shopping and Bonfire Night. Anti-social behaviour, the second most common crime type, was 71% above the UK average (1.1 vs 3.3 per 1,000), a disparity that may reflect local community dynamics or event-related disturbances. Conversely, bicycle theft fell by 50% (2 → 1), possibly due to reduced outdoor activity during darker evenings. The rise in shoplifting, which now accounts for 9.9% of all crimes, aligns with the timing of major retail promotions, illustrating how consumer activity can directly influence crime trends. These shifts highlight the need for targeted interventions during high-traffic periods.

Cirencester's crime rate in November 2024 (6.9 per 1,000 residents) marks a 15.3% increase from the previous month’s 6.0 per 1,000, reflecting a slight upward trend. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately four crimes per day, a figure that contextualises the pace of incidents for residents. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 146 residents, a monthly exposure rate that underscores the frequency of incidents relative to the population. This rate is lower than the UK average, but the month-on-month rise suggests a need for continued monitoring. The population context reveals that, despite being a relatively small built-up area within the Cotswold, Cirencester’s crime profile is shaped by local factors such as seasonal events and retail activity, which may influence patterns differently than in larger urban centres.