Cotswold Crime Rate November 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Cotswold’s crime profile in November 2025 reveals a marked dominance of property crimes over violent incidents, a trend that may reflect the area’s characteristics as a largely rural district with significant tourism and retail activity. The overall crime rate stood at 4.9 per 1,000 residents, 32.9% below the UK average, a figure that positions Cotswold as one of the safer local authority districts in the country. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 31.8% of all reported crimes, a share significantly lower than the UK average of 2.6 per 1,000 (38% below), suggesting a lower prevalence of violent incidents in this area. Anti-social behaviour followed closely at 19.4%, while shoplifting, though rising sharply by 112% to 70 incidents, remained below the UK average. The seasonal context of November—marked by dark evenings, Bonfire Night, and Black Friday—likely contributes to the increase in property-related crimes, as retail environments become more vulnerable to theft during the holiday shopping period. This balance between property and violent crime may indicate a community where economic activity and tourism drive certain crime types, while the absence of major urban centres limits the frequency of more severe incidents. The data also shows that crimes such as burglary and shoplifting are above the UK average, pointing to specific vulnerabilities that could be addressed through targeted local initiatives. Overall, the crime picture for Cotswold in November 2025 illustrates a combination of seasonal factors, local demographics, and the area’s geographic and economic profile, all of which shape the types and rates of crime experienced.

November saw a stark increase in shoplifting, rising by 112% to 70 incidents, a figure that outpaces the UK average by 27%. This surge aligns with the timing of Black Friday shopping, a period when retail areas often see spikes in theft-related crimes. Concurrently, violent crime accounted for 31.8% of all incidents, slightly below the proportion of property crimes (41.9%), reflecting a more pronounced focus on property-related offences in the area. However, two smaller but notable increases emerged: robbery rose by 300% (from 1 to 4) and possession of weapons increased by 200% (from 1 to 3). In contrast, public order offences fell by 60%, possibly linked to reduced large-scale events during the month. These shifts highlight the dynamic nature of local crime patterns, with retail and seasonal factors playing a clear role in shaping November’s statistics.

Cotswold's crime rate in November 2025 rose by 7.2% compared to the previous month, moving from 4.6 to 4.9 per 1,000 residents. This increase, though modest, reflects a shift in local patterns. On a daily basis, the area saw roughly 15 crimes reported each day, a figure that contextualises the pace of incidents within the community. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 202 residents, a monthly exposure rate that suggests a relatively low frequency of crime relative to population size. When scaled to the area’s 91,661 residents, this figure underscores that most residents are not directly affected by crime on a daily basis. However, the upward trend from October to November hints at factors such as seasonal transitions, which may influence both public and private safety dynamics in the coming months.