The question of why Kemble, a Built-Up Area (BUA) in the Cotswold with a population of 2074, experiences a crime rate of 48.2 per 1,000, significantly higher than the UK average of 91.6, is complex. While this figure suggests a greater incidence of crime, it’s important to consider the context and potential contributing factors. Kemble's safety score of 88/100, above the UK average of 79, indicates that despite the higher crime rate, residents may still perceive the area as relatively safe – a discrepancy requiring further investigation.
Several factors could contribute to this apparent paradox. Firstly, the relatively small population size means that even a small number of incidents can significantly skew the crime rate per capita. A single, serious incident could disproportionately impact the rate. Secondly, the nature of the crimes recorded – violence and sexual offences – are often underreported, making accurate assessment challenging.
Without more granular data regarding the specific types of violence and sexual offences occurring, pinpointing precise causes is difficult. However, potential influences could include socioeconomic factors such as poverty or unemployment, which are known to correlate with increased crime rates in various locations. The availability of local services, community engagement levels, and the presence of support networks can also play a significant role. It's also possible that reporting practices within Kemble differ from those in other areas, leading to a higher recorded crime rate, even if the actual level of offending is comparable.
Further analysis would require a breakdown of crime types, demographic data, and a comparison with similar areas within the Cotswold. It’s crucial to avoid speculation and focus on evidence-based investigation to understand the factors influencing crime patterns in Kemble and to develop targeted interventions to address any underlying issues. The higher safety score suggests that perceptions of safety are not entirely aligned with the crime rate, and this disconnect needs to be understood.