Predicting future crime trends is complex, but analysing recent data for Billy Row, a Built-Up Area (BUA) in County Durham with a population of 1898, allows us to formulate some informed projections. Currently, Billy Row exhibits a crime rate of 50.6 incidents per 1,000 residents. This is notably lower than the UK average of 91.6 incidents per 1,000. Furthermore, the area boasts a safety score of 87 out of 100, significantly higher than the UK average of 79, suggesting a generally safe environment.
The most significant factor influencing potential future trends is the observed decrease in crime. This represents a year-on-year (YoY) decline of 17.2%. While this is a positive development, it's crucial to understand that trends can shift. The continued decrease will likely depend on sustained community engagement, effective policing strategies, and potentially, socioeconomic factors within the BUA and the wider County Durham region.
It’s important to remember that the crime rate is an average. Specific types of crime, not detailed in the data provided, may be more or less prevalent, and future trends for those specific crimes could differ from the overall trend. The high safety score suggests a strong sense of community and potentially, effective preventative measures are already in place. Maintaining these existing strengths will be critical. Further analysis, incorporating factors beyond this limited dataset, would be necessary for a more robust prediction. However, based solely on the available data, the expectation is for crime rates in Billy Row to continue on a downward trajectory, contributing to a continued high safety score.