The anticipated future crime trends for Aylesham, a Built-Up Area (BUA) in Dover, suggest a continuation of the recent upward trend. Currently, Aylesham has a crime rate of 57.1 per 1,000 residents, which is notably lower than the UK average of 91.6. However, the most significant factor influencing future projections is the observed 14.5% year-on-year increase in crime.
This substantial increase indicates a concerning trend that, if unchecked, could lead to Aylesham’s crime rate converging with, or even exceeding, the national average. The population of Aylesham is 7622, and while a lower crime rate is positive, the rapid increase necessitates a closer examination of the underlying factors. It’s crucial to understand that this data reflects reported crimes and doesn’t necessarily capture the full picture of safety and security within the area.
While Aylesham benefits from a comparatively high safety score of 88 out of 100, significantly better than the UK average of 79, this score is predicated on the current crime rate. The 14.5% increase indicates that this score is potentially vulnerable to decline. Without intervention or mitigation, the future crime trends could potentially erode this safety advantage. Further investigation into the specific types of crimes contributing to this increase is necessary to inform targeted prevention strategies. Local authorities and community organisations will need to address the root causes driving this upward trend to ensure Aylesham maintains its relatively safe environment. Understanding the context of these numbers is vital; a small population like Aylesham can be significantly impacted by even a small number of additional crimes, leading to disproportionately large percentage increases.