Horncastle Crime Rate June 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Violence and sexual offences emerged as the dominant category in Horncastle’s June 2023 crime profile, accounting for 31.3% of all reported incidents. This category alone saw a 23.1% decrease from May, with 10 incidents recorded — 38% below the UK average for the same category. The area’s overall crime rate of 5.7 per 1,000 residents, 32.9% below the national average of 8.5, reflects a broader pattern of lower-than-average violent crime, though property-related incidents remained a notable presence. Anti-social behaviour, the second most common category, accounted for 25% of total crimes and was 5% below the UK average. Public order offences, at 12.5% of the total, were 4% above the UK rate, a slight deviation that may be influenced by the start of summer and increased public activity. Seasonal context plays a likely role in these patterns: June marks the beginning of the tourist season in East Lindsey, which could explain the rise in vehicle crime and the stability of violent crime despite the overall decline. However, the sudden doubling of robbery and theft from the person incidents — both of which were previously absent — may indicate new risk factors, such as changes in local behaviour or increased foot traffic in the built-up area. The interplay between these trends and the area’s relatively low population density suggests that Horncastle’s crime profile is shaped by a combination of its geographical position, seasonal rhythms, and the specific characteristics of its community.

June 2023 saw sharp increases in three specific crime categories: robbery, theft from the person, and vehicle crime, each of which rose by 100% compared to May. This surge, from zero to one incident in each category, signals a sudden shift in local crime dynamics. Robbery in Horncastle was 100% above the UK average for the category, with 1 incident per 1,000 residents compared to the national rate of 0.1. Meanwhile, violent crime decreased by 23.1%, from 13 to 10 incidents, a drop that may partly explain the overall rate’s stability. The area’s anti-social behaviour rate also fell by 11.1%, from 9 to 8 incidents, though it remained 5% below the UK average. These shifts suggest a combination of seasonal factors — such as the start of summer tourism — and localized patterns, with property-related crimes rising while violent incidents declined.

Horncastle's crime rate in June 2023 remained stable at 5.7 per 1,000 residents, matching the rate recorded in the previous month. This consistency suggests no significant short-term fluctuations in crime trends. On a daily basis, the area saw approximately one reported crime per day over the 30-day period, a figure that, while low, reflects the small population of 5,590 residents. When scaled to the monthly aggregate, this translates to one reported crime for roughly every 175 residents — a metric that highlights the relatively low frequency of incidents in the built-up area. While the local rate is 32.9% below the UK average, the daily and monthly exposure figures provide context for residents: the likelihood of encountering crime is significantly lower than the national average, though the small population size naturally influences these proportions. This balance between low overall numbers and a manageable risk level underscores Horncastle’s position as a relatively safe area within East Lindsey.