Horncastle Crime Rate November 2023 | Monthly Statistics

In November 2023, Horncastle's crime rate of 7.7 per 1,000 residents placed it 2.7% above the UK average, a margin that, while small, invites closer examination of local factors. The area's crime profile was dominated by violence and sexual offences (21 incidents, 48.8% of total), a category that remains 47% above the UK average (2.6 per 1,000). This could be consistent with the seasonal context of November, when darker evenings and events like Bonfire Night may increase opportunities for such crimes. Anti-social behaviour (7 incidents, 16.3% of total) also stood out, with a 24% gap above the UK average (1.1 per 1,000), a figure that may reflect the community's social dynamics during the month. Property crimes accounted for only 25.6% of incidents (11 out of 43), a stark contrast to the 52.2% share of violent crimes. This imbalance could be linked to Horncastle's character as a small built-up area within East Lindsey, where personal interactions and local events may influence crime trends. The month's context—Black Friday shopping, reduced daylight, and Bonfire Night—likely contributed to the spike in anti-social behaviour and other theft, while the decline in shoplifting and public order offences may have been influenced by shorter trading hours and fewer public gatherings as the month progressed.

November 2023 saw sharp increases in anti-social behaviour (+133.3%) and other theft (+200%), with the latter tripling from one to three incidents. These spikes may partly explain the overall 4.9% monthly rise in crime rates. Violent crimes, which constitute 48.8% of total incidents, remain 47% above the UK average (2.6 per 1,000), a disparity that could be linked to the area's small population and concentrated social interactions. Conversely, public order offences dropped by 50%, and shoplifting fell by half, due to reduced outdoor activity during darker evenings. Vehicle crime, though still 60% below the UK average, rose by 100% to one incident, a figure that may signal increased car presence during the month. These shifts highlight how seasonal factors—such as Bonfire Night and Black Friday—can influence crime patterns in a tight-knit community.

Horncastle's November 2023 crime rate (7.7 per 1,000) reflects a 4.9% increase from the previous month's 7.3 per 1,000. This rise, though modest, translates to one reported crime per day on average—a figure that may feel more tangible in a small community. Over the course of the month, one crime occurred for roughly every 130 residents, a statistic that underscores the low overall frequency despite the slight upward trend. When scaled to the area's population of 5,590, the rate remains relatively low compared to larger urban centres. gap above the UK average highlights local variations in policing or demographics. The daily crime context is particularly useful for residents: with 43 crimes reported over 30 days, the likelihood of encountering a crime is minimal, yet the 4.9% increase suggests a need for continued vigilance, especially in areas with higher foot traffic during November's seasonal events.