Horncastle Crime Rate November 2025 | Monthly Statistics

For every 1,000 residents in Horncastle, 8.1 crimes were reported in November 2025 — 11.0% above the UK average of 7.3. This translates to a monthly exposure where one resident in every 124 experienced a reported crime. The most common crime type was violence and sexual offences (22 incidents), which occurred at 3.9 per 1,000 residents — 52% above the UK average for this category. Anti-social behaviour followed with 7 incidents (1.3 per 1,000), 23% above the UK rate. These patterns may partly explain the overall rate being higher than the national average. Seasonal factors like Bonfire Night and Black Friday shopping likely contributed to the spike in violent and anti-social incidents, as dark evenings and increased foot traffic in retail areas can heighten tensions. The area’s status as a built-up part of East Lindsey, with a mix of rural and urban characteristics, may also influence crime dynamics. While property crimes (9 incidents) were lower than violent crimes, the breakdown shows a stark contrast between the 48.9% share of violent offences and the 15.6% share of anti-social behaviour. This suggests a shift in crime patterns from property-focused to more interpersonal incidents, linked to local events and social interactions during the month. The 11.0% gap over the UK average underscores the need for targeted community engagement, though the overall rate remains relatively low by national standards for a non-metropolitan area.

November saw a 40.7% increase in the crime rate from 5.7 to 8.1 per 1,000 residents compared to October. The most significant month-on-month change was a 200% rise in 'Other crime' incidents, from 1 to 3. This category, which includes unclassified offences, may reflect unreported or under-recorded activities that warrant closer attention. Concurrently, 'Other theft' and 'Possession of weapons' both doubled from 0 to 2 incidents, suggesting a potential shift in criminal activity toward more discreet or less visible crimes. Conversely, shoplifting and vehicle crime both fell by two-thirds (66.7%), possibly due to increased police patrols or retail security measures around Black Friday. Violent crimes, which account for nearly half of all incidents, remain 52% above the UK average, with 3.9 per 1,000 residents compared to the national 2.6. Anti-social behaviour also exceeded the UK rate by 23%, at 1.3 per 1,000. These figures highlight a localised concentration of interpersonal crimes, which may be linked to the area’s social dynamics during the month. For residents, the 200% increase in 'Other crime' is a concrete data point to consider when assessing personal safety, though the overall number remains low in absolute terms.

The crime rate in November 2025 (8.1 per 1,000) represents a 40.7% increase from October’s 5.7 per 1,000, reflecting a notable upward trend. This means that, on average, 2 crimes were reported per day in the built-up area of Horncastle — a figure that, while concerning, remains relatively low in the context of UK urban centres. Over the course of the month, one resident in every 124 experienced a reported crime, a monthly exposure rate that, when scaled to the population of 5,590, equates to a manageable level of risk for most individuals. This statistic is particularly useful for residents seeking to contextualise their personal safety — the probability of experiencing a crime is significantly lower than in larger cities with higher population densities. The previous month’s rate of 5.7 per 1,000 suggests a seasonal fluctuation, likely influenced by factors such as the timing of Bonfire Night and the start of the Christmas shopping period. While the increase is statistically significant, the absolute number of crimes (45) remains modest, indicating that the built-up area’s crime profile is still characterised by low-level incidents rather than widespread criminal activity. This contrast between the 11.0% gap over the UK average and the localised nature of the offences underscores the importance of viewing crime statistics in both national and community-specific contexts.