The question of whether crime in Shelley, Epping Forest, varies significantly with seasonal changes cannot be definitively answered based on the available data. The information provided pertains to the BUA (Built-Up Area) of Shelley within Epping Forest, encompassing a population of 2743 residents. The overall crime rate for Shelley is 62.3 incidents per 1,000 people. This is notably lower than the UK average of 91.6 incidents per 1,000, suggesting a generally safer environment compared to the national picture. Furthermore, Shelley's safety score stands at 84 out of 100, which is also above the UK average of 79.
However, the data does not specify if these crime rates are broken down by season (e.g., spring, summer, autumn, winter). Seasonal crime patterns can be observed in many areas, with factors like daylight hours, weather conditions, and school holidays potentially influencing criminal activity. For example, some studies suggest an increase in certain types of crime during warmer months due to increased opportunity and outdoor activity. Conversely, others show different patterns.
Without granular data, it's impossible to determine if Shelley experiences these seasonal variations. It's important to note that a lower crime rate (62.3 per 1,000) and a higher safety score (84/100) suggest that Shelley is comparatively safer than the UK average. This does not, however, negate the possibility of localised fluctuations that might be influenced by seasonal factors. Further investigation, potentially through local police reports or community forums, would be necessary to ascertain whether any specific seasonal trends are present in Shelley’s crime statistics.