Predicting the future of crime in any area is complex, but analysing current data allows us to identify potential trends. Currently, Fenland, a Local Authority District (LAD) with a population of 104,896, exhibits a crime rate of 92.8 incidents per 1,000 residents. This is marginally higher than the UK average of 91.6 per 1,000. The area's safety score stands at 78 out of 100, which is slightly below the UK average of 79.
The most significant indicator for future trends is the reported trend: stable, with a year-on-year (YoY) change of 3.2%. A 'stable' trend suggests that the overall level of crime is not significantly increasing or decreasing. However, the 3.2% YoY change indicates a slight upward movement, although the magnitude is relatively small. It's important to note that a 'stable' trend doesn't guarantee continued stability; it simply reflects the situation over the observed period.
While we cannot definitively forecast future crime levels, the data suggests that Fenland is not experiencing a dramatic shift in crime rates. The slightly higher crime rate compared to the national average warrants ongoing monitoring. Factors influencing crime trends in Fenland, which are not reflected in these simple statistics, could include socioeconomic conditions, changes in policing strategies, and community engagement levels. Further investigation into the specific types of crimes contributing to the overall rate would offer more granular insight. Continued vigilance and proactive community safety measures are essential to maintaining a secure environment in Fenland.