The question of why crime trends are occurring in Broadwell and Coalway requires a nuanced look at the available data. The current crime rate in Broadwell and Coalway, a Built-Up Area (BUA) within the Forest of Dean, stands at 60.1 incidents per 1,000 residents. This is notably lower than the United Kingdom’s average crime rate of 91.6 per 1,000 residents. Importantly, the area has experienced a year-on-year decrease of 4.9% in crime, indicating a stable trend. The area’s safety score is also a positive indicator, registering at 87 out of 100, significantly exceeding the UK average of 79.
Several factors could be contributing to this comparatively lower crime rate and stable trend. The relatively small population of 2,914 may foster a stronger sense of community and social cohesion, potentially deterring criminal activity. Close-knit communities often have more informal social controls and a greater willingness to look out for one another. The Forest of Dean itself is often perceived as a rural and peaceful region, which could influence the types of crimes that occur and the likelihood of reporting.
The 4.9% year-on-year decrease suggests that preventative measures or shifts in local circumstances are having a positive effect. Without further data on the types of crimes reported, it’s difficult to pinpoint specific drivers. However, a stable trend indicates that any short-term fluctuations are being effectively managed. It's crucial to remember that correlation does not equal causation, and attributing the stability solely to one factor would be an oversimplification. Continued monitoring of crime data and engagement with local residents remain essential to understanding and addressing any emerging concerns.