Cinderford Crime Rate September 2023 | Monthly Statistics

September 2023 marked a continuation of Cinderford's elevated crime profile, with an overall rate of 10.5 crimes per 1,000 residents, placing the area 31.2% above the UK average. This figure underscores a persistent challenge in maintaining public safety within the built-up area of the Forest of Dean. The most prevalent crimes were violence and sexual offences, which accounted for 39.1% of all incidents, followed by anti-social behaviour at 21.7% and criminal damage at 12.0%. These patterns align with the seasonal context of September, as the return of students to local schools and universities likely contributes to increased social activity and associated crime. The higher incidence of violence and sexual offences compared to the UK average may reflect the area's compact nature and the concentration of population in a limited geographical space, which can amplify tensions and reduce opportunities for informal social control. Anti-social behaviour, which was 72% above the national average, may also be influenced by the transition into autumn, with longer evenings leading to more late-night disturbances. Meanwhile, the lower rates of vehicle crime and other theft compared to the UK average could indicate effective local policing strategies or the absence of high-traffic areas that typically drive such offences. The seasonal context of September, with its mix of returning students and the start of the academic year, likely plays a role in shaping these patterns, though the exact mechanisms remain speculative without further data.

September 2023 saw notable shifts in specific crime categories, with possession of weapons and drugs both doubling from one to two incidents each, marking a 100% increase. This rise may be linked to the seasonal transition, as the area's built-up nature and proximity to educational institutions could influence such trends. Conversely, other theft and vehicle crime both decreased, with other theft dropping by 72.7% and vehicle crime falling by 33.3%. These declines contrast sharply with the significant overperformance of violence and sexual offences, which were 50% above the UK average at 4.1 per 1,000. Anti-social behaviour also showed a stark deviation, 72% above the national rate, reflecting the impact of late-night activity as evenings lengthen and schools return to full operation.

Cinderford's crime rate in September 2023 remained stable at 10.5 per 1,000 residents, matching the figure recorded in the previous month. This consistency suggests no immediate surge or decline in overall criminal activity. Locally, the average resident faced a 1-in-96 chance of experiencing a reported crime over the course of the month, a figure that contextualises the monthly exposure to crime within the built-up area. Daily, the area saw an average of three crimes per day, a figure that aligns with the month's total of 92 incidents. When compared to the UK average of 8.0 per 1,000, Cinderford's rate remains 31.2% higher, a disparity that persists despite the month's stability. This elevated rate may reflect local characteristics such as the area's compact built-up nature and seasonal factors like the return of students to local schools and universities, which could influence patterns of anti-social behaviour and violence.