Cinderford Crime Rate November 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Cinderford’s November 2024 crime profile reveals a striking imbalance between violent and property crimes, with violence and sexual offences accounting for nearly 40% of all reported incidents. This stark contrast to the UK average, where violent crimes make up 28% of the total, underscores the area’s unique challenges. The 8.6 crimes per 1,000 residents—a 13.2% rise above the UK’s 7.6—reflects a broader pattern of elevated violent crime, particularly in anti-social behaviour (80% above the UK average) and public order offences (76% above). These figures may be influenced by local factors, such as the built-up nature of the area and its proximity to high-traffic zones like the Forest of Dean’s main roads. Seasonal elements also play a role: November’s darker evenings, combined with events like Bonfire Night and Black Friday shopping, could exacerbate tensions or create environments conducive to disorder. While property crimes remain relatively low (13 total, or 17% of the total), the sharp rise in 'other crime' incidents (a 500% month-on-month jump) suggests unexplored dynamics. The data also reveals a paradox: shoplifting, at 0.2 per 1,000, is 71% below the UK average, linked to the area’s limited retail presence compared to larger urban centres. This mix of crime types—dominated by violence and anti-social behaviour—illustrates a community grappling with interpersonal conflicts and public order issues, rather than economic or property-driven crime. Such patterns are consistent with Cinderford’s status as a smaller built-up area within a rural district, where social interactions are more concentrated and community-based policing may be more visible.

November 2024 saw a dramatic 500% increase in 'other crime' incidents, rising from 1 to 6 cases—a shift that may reflect unanticipated local factors or reporting changes. Concurrently, drug-related offences doubled, highlighting a potential uptick in illicit activity. These increases contrast with declines in shoplifting (-33.3%) and public order offences (-20%), suggesting a seasonal realignment in criminal focus. The dominance of violent crimes—29 incidents, or 38.2% of total offences—places Cinderford above the UK average for this category (2.6 per 1,000 vs 3.3 per 1,000). Anti-social behaviour, at 2.0 per 1,000, is 80% above the UK average, a disparity that may correlate with the area’s compact built-up environment and proximity to recreational spaces. These shifts, though not fully explained by data, align with November’s darker evenings and community events like Bonfire Night, which could heighten tensions or create opportunities for disorder.

Cinderford's November 2024 crime rate of 8.6 per 1,000 residents marks a 5.6% increase from the previous month’s 8.2 per 1,000, reflecting a slight upward trend. This rise, though modest, underscores the need for continued vigilance. On a daily basis, the area experiences approximately 3 crimes per day, a figure that, while low in absolute terms, remains a consistent presence for local residents. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 116 residents, a monthly aggregate that contextualises the exposure rate within the population. With a population of 8,808, this statistic highlights the relative frequency of crime in a small built-up area where community interactions are frequent. The comparison to the UK average of 7.6 per 1,000 further illustrates Cinderford’s position as a slightly higher-risk area, though the disparity remains within a narrow margin. These figures, when considered alongside the local demographic and geographic context, provide a clearer picture of how crime impacts daily life in the Forest of Dean.