Cinderford Crime Rate November 2025 | Monthly Statistics

The crime profile in Cinderford during November 2025 reveals a distinct balance between violent and property-related offences, with violent crimes accounting for 36.9% of all reported incidents. This contrasts with the UK average, where violent crimes make up 35.2% of total crime. The area's overall crime rate of 7.4 per 1,000 residents places it 1.4% above the UK average of 7.3 per 1,000, a narrow margin that suggests local factors may be influencing patterns. Anti-social behaviour emerges as a significant concern, contributing 24.6% of all crimes in the month—70% above the UK average for this category. This may be linked to the area's built-up character within the Forest of Dean, where community density could amplify such incidents. Violence and sexual offences remain the most prevalent category, with 24 reported cases (2.7 per 1,000 residents), 5% above the UK average for this type. The seasonal context of November, marked by Bonfire Night and Black Friday shopping, likely contributes to spikes in public order offences and anti-social behaviour, as heightened activity in public spaces may increase opportunities for such crimes. Property crimes, though lower overall than violent offences, still account for 29.2% of the total, with shoplifting (7.7%) and criminal damage (10.8%) standing out. The relatively low rates of vehicle crime (3.1%) and burglary (3.1%) compared to the UK average could reflect the area's rural-adjacent nature, where fewer vehicles are parked in high-risk zones and homes may be more spread out. This mix of crime types illustrates a community grappling with both persistent local issues and seasonal fluctuations, requiring tailored approaches to address specific vulnerabilities.

November 2025 saw notable month-on-month shifts in Cinderford's crime profile, with public order offences doubling from 2 to 4 cases—a 100% increase. This surge aligns with the timing of Bonfire Night, which often leads to heightened public gatherings and associated disruptions. The possession of weapons category also rose sharply, with one reported incident in November compared to none in the previous month. This could indicate a localized spike in incidents tied to seasonal events or targeted enforcement actions. Vehicle crime, which had previously declined, increased by 100% from 1 to 2 cases, potentially linked to increased nighttime activity or changes in parking patterns during the month. Conversely, other theft decreased by 50% from 6 to 3 cases, a reduction that might reflect improved retail security measures or reduced foot traffic during Black Friday promotions. The crime mix also reveals stark contrasts with UK averages: anti-social behaviour is 70% above the national rate, while shoplifting is 5% below. This divergence highlights Cinderford's unique challenges, where community-specific factors appear to drive certain categories more than others. For residents, the 70% disparity in anti-social behaviour rates offers a clear area for targeted community engagement, while the relatively lower shoplifting rate suggests that local retail strategies may be effective in deterring such crimes.

Cinderford's November 2025 crime rate of 7.4 per 1,000 residents marks a 20.4% increase from the previous month's rate of 6.1 per 1,000. This rise, while modest in absolute terms, translates to a daily crime count of approximately 2 incidents per day over the 30-day period. When viewed through a population lens, the monthly exposure equates to 1 reported crime for every 136 residents—a figure that, while not alarmingly high, underscores the need for sustained community vigilance. Comparing this to the UK average of 7.3 per 1,000, Cinderford's rate remains just 1.4% above the national benchmark, a margin that could be attributed to local demographic or geographic factors. The population-scaled perspective reveals that while the area is not significantly more crime-prone than the UK average, the concentration of certain offences—particularly anti-social behaviour—suggests localized pressures. For instance, the 70% gap between Cinderford's anti-social behaviour rate and the UK average may reflect the built-up nature of the area, where higher population density and proximity to public amenities could amplify such incidents. Meanwhile, the relatively low rates of vehicle crime and burglary compared to the UK average might indicate that the area's rural-adjacent character provides some natural deterrence to these types of offences. These comparative metrics offer residents a nuanced understanding of their safety context, highlighting both shared national trends and unique local challenges that require tailored responses.