Forest of Dean Crime Rate November 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Forest of Dean’s crime rate in November 2024 stood at 5.0 per 1,000 residents, placing it 34.2% below the UK average of 7.6. This figure underscores the area’s relatively lower crime profile compared to the national average, though it is not without its own distinct patterns. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 42.6% of all reported crimes, a share that is 19% below the UK average for this category. This discrepancy may reflect the area’s rural character, where community cohesion and limited urban density can contribute to lower rates of violent incidents. Anti-social behaviour, however, emerged as a significant concern, comprising 25.5% of all crimes and exceeding the UK average by 17%. This could be influenced by seasonal factors such as the shorter daylight hours of November, which may exacerbate tensions in public spaces. Other theft, at 7.0% of the total, is 27% below the UK average, a trend consistent with the area’s lower retail density compared to major urban centres. The seasonal context of November—marked by Bonfire Night, Black Friday shopping, and the onset of darker evenings—may have contributed to fluctuations in crime types, with public order offences and criminal damage seeing notable decreases. These patterns suggest a nuanced interplay between local geography, community dynamics, and seasonal rhythms, all of which shape the crime profile in Forest of Dean.

November 2024 saw notable shifts in crime patterns, with robbery increasing by 100% (from 0 to 1 incident) and criminal damage and arson rising by 38.9% (from 18 to 25 cases). Anti-social behaviour also rose by 22.8%, reaching 113 incidents, a figure 17% above the UK average. This increase may be linked to darker evenings and seasonal events such as Bonfire Night, which can amplify public disorder. Conversely, vehicle crime dropped by 41.7% (from 12 to 7 incidents), likely due to reduced traffic during the festive period. Public order offences fell by 35.7% (from 42 to 27), suggesting a possible decrease in alcohol-related incidents. The sharp rise in anti-social behaviour, combined with the stability in violent crime, paints a complex picture of local dynamics, where community-focused policing and seasonal factors may intersect.

Forest of Dean’s crime rate rose by 3.8% in November 2024 compared to 4.8 per 1,000 in the previous month, reflecting a slight upward trend. Daily crime figures show 15 crimes reported each day on average, a number that contextualises the pace of activity in a localised setting. Over the course of the month, one crime occurred for roughly every 202 residents, a monthly exposure figure that highlights the scale of incidents relative to the population. With a population of 89,753, this rate is significantly lower than the UK average, though the increase from October suggests minor fluctuations in local patterns. The daily crime count, while seemingly high, must be understood within the context of the area’s size and the specific nature of incidents, such as anti-social behaviour and violence, which dominate the crime mix. These figures do not imply a sudden surge in danger but rather illustrate the ongoing interplay between local dynamics and national trends.