Carlton (Gedling) Crime Rate February 2024 | Monthly Statistics

February 2024 presented a paradoxical crime picture for Carlton (Gedling): while overall rates remained 33.8% below the UK average, three specific categories saw dramatic month-on-month increases. The built-up area's crime rate of 4.7 per 1,000 residents — a figure significantly lower than the national average of 7.1 per 1,000 — suggests effective local crime prevention strategies. However, the most striking finding was the 50% rise in robbery incidents, which jumped from 2 to 3 cases in a single month. This spike, though small in absolute terms, contrasts with the broader trend of declining crime and raises questions about potential vulnerabilities. Violence and sexual offences remained the most prevalent category (33.5% of total crimes), followed by anti-social behaviour (16.9%) and shoplifting (15.7%). The latter's 30% above UK average rate highlights persistent challenges in retail crime prevention, possibly linked to the area's commercial activity or policing focus. Seasonal factors likely played a role, as February's low outdoor activity and pre-spring lull may have shifted crime patterns toward indoor spaces and targeted retail environments. Violent crime rates were 36% below the UK average, a figure that may reflect the area's demographic profile or community cohesion efforts. The overall decline in anti-social behaviour (down 24.1%) and burglary (down 28.6%) aligns with typical winter trends, where colder weather and shorter daylight hours often correlate with reduced public disorder. Yet the simultaneous rise in weapon possession and public order offences complicates this narrative, indicating potential localized pressures that require further investigation.

February 2024 saw three crime types surge by 50% compared to January: robbery, public order offences, and possession of weapons. This spike in robbery — from 2 to 3 incidents — is particularly noteworthy given the area's generally low crime profile. The increase in public order offences (8 to 12) may reflect heightened tensions during colder evenings or shifts in local event schedules. Meanwhile, possession of weapons rose from 2 to 3, a figure that, while small, warrants attention in a built-up area where such incidents are typically rare. Conversely, anti-social behaviour fell by 24.1% (54 to 41), possibly linked to seasonal patterns or local interventions. Shoplifting, at 38 incidents (0.7 per 1,000), remains 30% above the UK average, suggesting ongoing challenges in retail crime prevention despite the overall downward trend. These fluctuations illustrate how specific factors — from weather to community dynamics — can influence crime patterns even in areas with historically low rates.

Carlton (Gedling)'s crime rate in February 2024 stood at 4.7 per 1,000 residents, marking an 11.7% decrease from the previous month's rate of 5.3 per 1,000. This decline aligns with typical winter patterns observed in built-up areas, where reduced outdoor activity and colder weather often correlate with lower crime levels. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 213 residents — a monthly aggregate that provides context for residents assessing their personal risk. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 8 crimes per day, a figure that reflects the local rhythm of activity rather than an isolated spike. The population-scaled perspective reveals that Carlton's crime rate remains significantly below the UK average, with the most recent data showing a 33.8% deficit compared to the national figure of 7.1 per 1,000. This consistent underperformance against UK averages suggests systemic factors — such as community engagement initiatives or local policing strategies — may be contributing to the area's relatively safer profile, though these remain speculative without further analysis.