East Horsley Crime Rate March 2023 | Monthly Statistics

For every 1,000 residents in East Horsley during March 2023, 3.5 crimes were reported — a figure 53.9% below the UK average of 7.6 per 1,000. This translates to a daily risk of less than 1 in 1,000 for any individual, significantly lower than the national context. Property crimes dominated the monthly tally, accounting for 65% of all incidents (13 out of 20), with burglary being the most notable category. While burglary rates in East Horsley were 173% above the UK average (0.9 vs 0.3 per 1,000), this may reflect local factors such as the area’s mix of residential and commercial properties, which could create targeted opportunities for offenders. Violence and sexual offences, though lower than the UK average (1.0 vs 2.7 per 1,000), still accounted for 30% of all crimes, highlighting the need for continued community vigilance. Seasonal shifts in March — with evenings lengthening and clocks moving forward — may have influenced outdoor activity patterns, though the overall crime rate remains low, consistent with East Horsley’s character as a relatively quiet built-up area within Guildford. This suggests that local deterrents, such as strong community policing or low population density, may play a role in maintaining safety despite the higher burglary rate.

March 2023 saw a stark contrast in crime type distribution compared to national averages, with burglary emerging as a significant outlier. At 0.9 per 1,000, this category was 173% above the UK average (0.3 per 1,000), a disparity that could be attributed to the area’s mix of residential properties and proximity to Guildford’s retail hubs, which may attract opportunistic offenders. Meanwhile, violence and sexual offences were 64% below the UK average (1.0 vs 2.7 per 1,000), a trend that may reflect East Horsley’s relatively stable community environment. Another notable deviation was bicycle theft, which at 0.2 per 1,000 was 186% above the UK average (0.1 per 1,000), linked to local cycling infrastructure or commuter activity. Property crimes, making up 65% of the total, dominated the monthly tally, with burglary and criminal damage accounting for 40% of all incidents. This mix of crime types underscores the need for targeted measures, such as enhanced lighting in residential areas or increased patrols near high-risk properties, to address the elevated burglary rates while maintaining the area’s overall safety profile.

East Horsley’s crime rate of 3.5 per 1,000 in March 2023 translates to a daily risk of approximately one crime per day for the area’s 5,779 residents. This figure, while low, contrasts with the UK average of 7.6 per 1,000, highlighting the area’s relative safety. On a monthly basis, the probability of encountering a crime is 1 in 289 residents, a statistic that, when contextualised, illustrates the rarity of incidents in this built-up area. For comparison, if the UK average were applied to East Horsley’s population, nearly 43 crimes would be expected in a month — a stark difference that underscores the effectiveness of local crime prevention strategies. The area’s lower population density and potential focus on community-based policing may contribute to this disparity, though the elevated burglary rate complicates this picture. Residents benefit from the low overall exposure to crime, but the higher burglary figure suggests that targeted interventions, such as improved home security awareness or surveillance in high-risk zones, could further reduce risks. This balance between overall safety and specific vulnerabilities offers a nuanced perspective on East Horsley’s crime profile.