East Horsley Crime Rate October 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Burglary dominated East Horsley’s crime profile in October 2023, accounting for 25% of all reported incidents. With a crime rate of 2.8 per 1,000 residents, the area remains significantly safer than the UK average of 8.0 per 1,000, a gap of 65%. The breakdown reveals a stark contrast between property crimes (8 incidents) and violent crimes (3 incidents), underscoring the area’s focus on residential and commercial security. Burglary, at 4 incidents, outpaced all other categories, a trend consistent with small urban areas where limited property density may make individual homes more vulnerable. Anti-social behaviour and violence and sexual offences each contributed 18.8% of total crimes, but both were well below UK averages, reflecting the area’s comparatively low levels of public disorder. Bicycle theft, though rare nationally, emerged as a notable local concern, with 2 incidents (12.5% of total crimes) — 300% above the UK average. This could be linked to the presence of cycling infrastructure or seasonal factors, such as the start of darker evenings. October’s seasonal context, including the clocks going back and Halloween, may have influenced crime patterns. The overall low crime rate suggests that East Horsley’s built-up environment, combined with community engagement or policing strategies, contributes to its safety profile relative to the UK average.

October 2023 saw sharp fluctuations in specific crime categories, with other theft and other crime each rising by 100% compared to the previous month, while bicycle theft doubled from 1 to 2 incidents. These increases, though small in absolute terms, highlight emerging vulnerabilities. Conversely, public order offences and vehicle crime both fell by 66.7%, potentially reflecting reduced activity during October’s shorter days or seasonal shifts in community behavior. Violence and sexual offences also dropped by two-thirds, from 9 to 3 incidents, a decline that may align with the absence of university term patterns or reduced social gatherings. Burglary’s dominance — 106% above the UK average — stands out as a local anomaly, suggesting targeted vulnerabilities in residential or commercial properties. This could be linked to the area’s built-up nature, where concentrated housing may attract opportunistic offenders. Anti-social behaviour, however, was 61% below the UK average, a trend consistent with smaller communities where social cohesion may deter such incidents. The stark divergence between local and national averages for categories like burglary and bicycle theft underscores the need for tailored local strategies, distinct from broader UK trends.

East Horsley’s crime rate in October 2023 dropped to 2.8 per 1,000 residents, a 40.7% decrease from the previous month’s rate of 4.7 per 1,000. This decline positions the area as one of the UK’s safest small urban centres, with a monthly exposure of 1 crime per 361 residents — a figure that, while low, highlights the importance of vigilance in maintaining this trend. On a daily basis, the area experienced roughly 1 crime per day over the 31-day period, a rate that, when compared to the UK’s overall daily crime context, illustrates East Horsley’s exceptional safety. The population-scaled perspective reveals that the 16 total crimes were distributed across 5,779 residents, meaning that only 0.28% of the population experienced a crime in October. This is significantly lower than the UK average, where crime rates are typically double or triple. The contrast between East Horsley’s low property crime rates and its relatively higher burglary incidence (106% above the UK average) suggests that while the area is generally secure, targeted interventions may be needed for residential security. The 66.7% reduction in vehicle crime and public order offences from September also underscores the impact of seasonal factors, such as reduced evening activity or the clocks going back, which may have limited opportunities for such crimes. For residents, the 1-in-361 monthly exposure figure provides a concrete benchmark for understanding risk, though it remains a reminder that even low crime rates require sustained community and policing efforts.