East Horsley Crime Rate November 2024 | Monthly Statistics

East Horsley's crime profile in November 2024 reveals a marked dominance of property-related offences over violent crime, a pattern that may reflect the area's socio-economic dynamics and seasonal influences. With a total crime rate of 2.3 per 1,000 residents — 69.7% below the UK average — the built-up area within Guildford demonstrates a consistently low level of criminal activity compared to national benchmarks. The breakdown shows burglary (23.1% of total crimes) and vehicle crime (23.1%) as the most prevalent categories, each contributing three incidents to the monthly total. This balance between property and violent crime, with the latter accounting for only 23.1% of reported incidents, suggests a community where physical safety remains relatively secure despite occasional property-focused incidents. The seasonal context of November, marked by Bonfire Night, Black Friday shopping and the onset of darker evenings, may have influenced the types of crime observed. For example, the spike in vehicle crime could be partially explained by increased foot traffic and potential vulnerabilities in car security during the festive retail period. Meanwhile, the lower-than-average incidence of violence and sexual offences (81% below UK rates) indicates a community where interpersonal conflicts are infrequent, though this may also be influenced by the area's character as a relatively stable, low-density residential environment. The absence of major spikes in anti-social behaviour (82% below UK average) further supports this narrative, though the small sample size of incidents (only one reported) means caution is needed in drawing definitive conclusions about long-term trends.

November 2024 saw significant fluctuations in specific crime categories, with vehicle crime surging by 100% compared to October as three incidents were recorded — a stark contrast to the previous month's zero. This increase aligns with the timing of Black Friday shopping, where heightened retail activity may have created opportunities for opportunistic vehicle-related crimes. Burglary also rose by 50%, moving from two to three incidents, though this remains well below the UK average of 0.3 per 1,000 residents (East Horsley's rate of 0.5 per 1,000 is 61% above the national figure). The most notable decline was in violence and sexual offences, which fell by 57.1% from seven to three incidents. This reduction is particularly significant given that East Horsley's rate of 0.5 per 1,000 is 81% below the UK average of 2.6 per 1,000, highlighting the area's consistently low levels of violent crime. Anti-social behaviour also decreased by 50%, from two to one incident, though this category's rate (0.2 per 1,000) remains 82% below the UK average. These shifts in crime patterns suggest a month where property-focused offences were more prevalent, possibly influenced by the season's unique characteristics such as extended evening darkness and increased commercial activity. Residents may find the 100% increase in vehicle crime particularly noteworthy, as it underscores the need for heightened awareness around car security during peak shopping periods.

East Horsley's November 2024 crime rate of 2.3 per 1,000 residents represents a 13.5% decrease from the previous month's rate of 2.6, continuing a trend of declining crime that has positioned the area well below national averages. On a daily basis, the area recorded an average of 0 crimes per day over the 30-day period, a figure that translates to a monthly exposure rate of one reported crime for every 445 residents. This starkly low frequency of incidents places East Horsley in a category distinct from larger urban centres, where crime rates are typically much higher. When viewed through the lens of the local population of 5,779 residents, the monthly exposure figure suggests that the likelihood of any individual experiencing a crime is extremely low — approximately 0.02% — a statistic that would be of particular interest to prospective homebuyers or businesses considering relocation. The comparison to the UK average of 7.6 per 1,000 residents further underscores the area's exceptional safety record, though this is not simply a function of population size. The built-up nature of East Horsley within Guildford, combined with its relatively low population density, likely contributes to this pattern, as smaller communities often benefit from stronger social cohesion and more visible policing. While the area's crime rate remains stable at a very low level, the 100% increase in vehicle crime compared to October serves as a reminder that even in low-crime areas, specific vulnerabilities can emerge during particular times of the year.