Horndean Crime Rate May 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Horndean’s crime rate in May 2023 stood at 5.7 per 1,000 residents, placing the area 28.7% below the UK average of 8.0 per 1,000. This figure reflects a consistent trend of lower-than-average crime rates, which aligns with the area’s character as a relatively low-density built-up zone within Havant. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 47.1% of all reported crimes, followed by anti-social behaviour (12.7%) and public order offences (9.0%). These figures suggest a crime profile skewed towards interpersonal disputes and community-level incidents, rather than property-related crimes. May’s longer evenings and bank holidays likely contributed to increased socialising in public spaces, which may partly explain the prominence of violence and public order offences. The area’s lower property crime rates—particularly in categories like burglary (0.2 per 1,000) and vehicle crime (0.3 per 1,000)—contrast with UK averages, indicating effective local measures or environmental factors that deter such offences. However, the seasonal context of May, with its mix of warmer weather and public holidays, also introduces variables that could influence crime patterns, such as increased foot traffic in retail areas or changes in community activity. These dynamics underscore the need for ongoing analysis to understand how broader trends interact with local conditions.

May 2023 saw dramatic shifts in specific crime categories, with robbery cases surging by 200% compared to April, rising from 1 to 3 incidents. This spike, while small in absolute terms, highlights potential vulnerabilities in local security or changes in criminal behaviour during the month. Other crime and shoplifting each increased by 150%, jumping from 2 to 5 cases respectively, suggesting a possible uptick in opportunistic offences linked to May’s extended evenings and social gatherings. Conversely, other theft decreased by 58.3% (from 24 to 10 cases), and criminal damage and arson fell by 54.5% (from 22 to 10), indicating a marked reduction in property-related disturbances. Anti-social behaviour remained significantly below the UK average (47% lower), with 24 incidents recorded at 0.7 per 1,000 residents. This aligns with Horndean’s generally lower crime profile but raises questions about the factors maintaining this trend—whether through community engagement, policing strategies, or the area’s physical layout. The most striking anomaly was the 43% increase in 'other crime' above the UK average, which may reflect underreported or niche offences not captured in broader categories. For residents, the sharp rise in robbery cases serves as a concrete reminder of the need for vigilance in public spaces, particularly during late evenings when social activity peaks.

Horndean’s crime rate in May 2023 rose slightly by 1.1% compared to April’s 5.6 per 1,000 residents, though this change is statistically negligible and suggests overall stability. On a daily basis, the area experienced an average of 6 crimes per day in May, a figure that contextualises the monthly total of 189 incidents within the local rhythm of community life. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 176 residents, a monthly exposure rate that remains well below the UK average. This statistic, while abstract, offers a tangible sense of the scale of risk for individuals living in Horndean. The population context—33,300 residents—further illustrates that the area’s crime burden is distributed across a relatively small community, potentially amplifying the impact of individual incidents. When compared to the UK average, Horndean’s significantly lower rates in categories like anti-social behaviour (47% below) and public order offences (24% below) underscore the area’s distinctiveness, though these figures may also reflect underreporting or differences in policing priorities. For local residents, the comparative data reinforces the notion that Horndean is a relatively safe place, despite the notable spikes in certain crime types during May.