Horndean Crime Rate April 2024 | Monthly Statistics

April 2024 in Horndean reveals a distinct crime profile shaped by a balance between violent and property offences. The overall crime rate of 4.4 per 1,000 residents places the area 42.9% below the UK average, a significant deviation that reflects broader patterns in local demographics and geography. Violence and sexual offences dominate the crime mix, accounting for 41.2% of all reported incidents, followed by other theft (12.8%) and public order issues (8.1%). This emphasis on violent crime contrasts with the UK average, where property crimes typically hold a larger share. The seasonal context of April—marked by Easter and the transition to spring—may contribute to increased public activity in community spaces, potentially influencing the prevalence of violent incidents. Violent crime in Horndean is 30% below the UK average, while public order offences are 25% below, suggesting a lower incidence of disruptive behaviour in local settings compared to national trends. This could be linked to Horndean’s character as a relatively quiet built-up area within Havant, where community cohesion and limited nightlife may reduce opportunities for certain types of crime. However, the prominence of violence and sexual offences highlights the need for targeted interventions in high-risk environments, such as public spaces or during late-night hours. The low rates of shoplifting and vehicle crime—55% and 36% below UK averages, respectively—may also reflect the area’s lower retail density and reduced traffic congestion, factors that could limit opportunities for such offences. These patterns underscore a unique crime profile that diverges from typical urban or rural trends, shaped by Horndean’s specific social and physical environment.

April 2024 saw notable shifts in crime trends, with some categories rising sharply while others declined. Other crime increased by 300% compared to March, jumping from one to four incidents, a surge that may reflect underreported or newly emerging issues. Vehicle crime also rose sharply by 233.3%, rising from three to ten, possibly linked to seasonal changes in parking habits or increased motorist activity during the Easter period. Conversely, shoplifting fell by 50%, dropping from 20 to 10 incidents—a steep decline that may be attributed to reduced foot traffic during Easter or heightened retail security measures. Public order offences decreased by 33.3%, from 18 to 12, indicating a quieter month in community spaces or successful local initiatives to deter disorder. The area’s violent crime rate remains 30% below the UK average, with violence and sexual offences at 1.8 per 1,000 residents, a figure that contrasts with the national context where these crimes are typically higher. Meanwhile, possession of weapons fell by 40%, from five to three incidents, a drop that could reflect improved policing or reduced tensions in local communities. These fluctuations highlight the dynamic nature of crime in Horndean, where seasonal and situational factors play a key role in shaping monthly patterns.

The crime rate in April 2024 rose slightly to 4.4 per 1,000 residents from 4.3 per 1,000 in March, a 2.8% increase that reflects minor seasonal variations. Over the course of the month, this translates to approximately five crimes per day in Horndean, a figure that places the area in a low-crime bracket relative to larger urban centres. On a monthly scale, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 225 residents, a ratio that underscores the relatively low frequency of incidents in this built-up area. When compared to the UK average of 7.7 per 1,000, Horndean’s rate remains substantially lower, with the gap persisting despite the small monthly increase. The population context further clarifies this: with 33,300 residents, the area’s crime statistics suggest a community where crime is not a daily occurrence but rather an infrequent event. This is particularly evident in categories such as burglary and robbery, which are 38% and 100% below UK averages, respectively. The daily crime count of five incidents provides a tangible reference point for residents, illustrating that most days pass without any reported crime. These figures collectively illustrate a community that, while not immune to crime, maintains a level of safety that is above the national norm, likely influenced by factors such as strong local policing, community engagement, and the area’s suburban character.