Horndean Crime Rate July 2024 | Monthly Statistics

In July 2024, Horndean's crime rate of 4.8 per 1,000 residents marked a striking contrast to the UK average of 8.4 per 1,000, with the area recording 42.9% fewer crimes overall. This lower-than-average rate reflects a combination of local factors, including its status as a built-up area within Havant, where community policing initiatives and relatively low population density may contribute to reduced criminal activity. The crime profile was dominated by violent offences, which accounted for 42.5% of all incidents, compared to property crimes at 28.1%. Violence and sexual offences (68 incidents) were the most prevalent category, significantly below the UK average of 2.9 per 1,000 (30% below). This imbalance between violent and property crime may indicate a focus on interpersonal conflicts over theft, influenced by seasonal factors such as the peak summer period and increased tourism. Public order offences (23 incidents) and anti-social behaviour (13 incidents) formed the next most common categories, though both remained well below national averages. The seasonal context of July—characterised by schools being out of session, festivals, and outdoor events—likely contributed to higher visibility of public order issues, while the absence of major retail hubs may have limited property crime opportunities. These patterns align with Horndean's character as a mixed-use residential and commercial area, where social interactions during summer months could drive certain crime types.

July 2024 saw significant shifts in crime trends, with burglary increasing by 125% (from 4 to 9 incidents) and possession of weapons rising by 100% (from 2 to 4 incidents), suggesting potential spikes in targeted offences. Conversely, shoplifting plummeted by 92.9% (from 14 to 1 incident), possibly linked to heightened police presence or seasonal retail strategies. The violent crime rate remained lower than the UK average, with violence and sexual offences at 2.0 per 1,000 (30% below the national figure). This stark contrast to the UK average highlights Horndean's relative safety in violent crime categories. share of violent offences in the local crime mix indicates a need for targeted interventions. The sharp decline in shoplifting aligns with the month's seasonal context, as summer holidays and reduced foot traffic in retail areas may have deterred such crimes. Residents may find the 92.9% drop in shoplifting particularly noteworthy, as it suggests effective measures by local businesses or law enforcement to address theft during peak tourist periods.

Horndean's crime rate in July 2024 (4.8 per 1,000) represented a 16.4% decrease from the previous month's rate of 5.7 per 1,000, illustrating a consistent downward trend. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 5 crimes per day over the 31-day period, a figure that appears modest when contextualised within the local population of 33,300 residents. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 208 residents, a monthly exposure rate that underscores the area's relatively low crime density compared to national averages. This statistic, when considered alongside the 42.9% gap between Horndean and the UK average, reinforces the area's status as a safer environment for residents. The population-scaled perspective further highlights that even with 160 total crimes, these incidents are distributed across a community where each resident has a statistically low likelihood of being directly affected. This comparative analysis suggests that Horndean's crime prevention strategies, combined with its geographic and demographic characteristics, may be effectively mitigating risks, particularly in property crime categories where the area consistently performs below national benchmarks.