Horndean Crime Rate August 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Violent crimes dominate Horndean's August 2025 crime profile, accounting for 90% of all reported incidents. At 3.9 crimes per 1,000 residents, the area's overall crime rate is 51.9% below the UK average of 8.1 per 1,000. This stark contrast to the national figure is partly explained by Horndean's character as a relatively low-density built-up area within Havant, where community cohesion and limited commercial activity may contribute to lower baseline crime levels. However, the violent crime category—3.5 per 1,000—exceeds the UK average for this category by 22%, a discrepancy that may reflect local factors such as seasonal fluctuations or concentrated incidents in specific areas. August, a peak holiday month, typically sees increased tourism and temporary population shifts, which may heighten vulnerability to certain types of crime. The area's crime picture is further shaped by its proximity to coastal and rural zones, where transient populations and empty homes during summer months could influence burglary risks, though these are not reflected in the current data. The breakdown also highlights possession of weapons as an outlier, with 8 incidents reported—122% above the UK average for this category. This figure, while small in absolute terms, raises questions about local enforcement practices or reporting trends. Public order offences, meanwhile, dropped sharply by 61.5% month-on-month, suggesting a possible reduction in alcohol-related incidents or effective community policing during the summer season. The overall crime rate remains a key benchmark for Horndean, which has consistently performed below the UK average in recent months, though the violent crime category's divergence from national trends warrants closer examination in the context of local demographics and seasonal patterns.

August 2025 saw a 700% surge in possession of weapons offences, rising from 1 to 8 incidents—a dramatic increase that far outpaces other categories. This spike, though numerically small, may indicate heightened awareness or reporting, or could reflect localized factors such as increased police presence or changes in enforcement priorities. Concurrently, violent crimes rose by 58.1% compared to July, with 117 incidents recorded—3.5 per 1,000 residents. This rate is 22% above the UK average for violent crimes (2.9 per 1,000), a notable anomaly that contrasts with Horndean's overall crime rate being significantly below the national figure. The sharp 61.5% decline in public order offences, from 13 to 5, suggests a possible reduction in alcohol-fuelled incidents or improved community engagement during the summer months. For residents, the daily crime count of four incidents provides a tangible reference point: over the course of August, this translates to roughly one crime occurring every 256 residents. The violent crime category's elevated rate relative to the UK average highlights a need for targeted interventions, though the overall crime picture remains reassuringly low for Horndean compared to the national benchmark. These fluctuations underscore the complexity of local crime dynamics, where seasonal factors and localized incidents can create divergent trends within an otherwise low-crime environment.

Horndean's August 2025 crime rate of 3.9 per 1,000 represents a 16.1% decline from the previous month's rate of 4.7 per 1,000, marking a continuation of the area's long-term trend of below-average crime levels. This reduction aligns with the seasonal pattern of decreasing incidents during the summer months, though the sharp rise in violent crimes complicates the narrative. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately four crimes per day in August—a figure that, while low, offers residents a concrete measure of risk. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 256 residents, a monthly exposure rate that is significantly lower than the UK average, which would typically see one crime for every 124 residents (based on the national rate of 8.1 per 1,000). When scaled to Horndean's population of 33,300, the 130 total crimes equate to a manageable level of risk for individuals, particularly when compared to the UK's higher crime environment. The contrast between Horndean's overall crime rate and the elevated rate of violent crimes highlights the importance of contextual analysis: while the area remains safer than the national average, specific categories require targeted attention. This comparison also underscores the value of localised data in understanding crime patterns, as national averages may obscure regional variations that are critical for community safety planning.