Horndean Crime Rate May 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Horndean's crime rate in May 2025 stood at 4.5 per 1,000 residents, 44.4% below the UK average of 8.1 per 1,000. This marked a slight upward trend from April's 4.1 per 1,000, though the overall rate remains significantly lower than national figures. Violence and sexual offences dominated the crime profile, accounting for 53% of all incidents, with 79 cases reported. This category's rate of 2.4 per 1,000 is 15% below the UK average, suggesting a possible combination of effective policing and community engagement in addressing violent crime. Public order offences, while a smaller proportion (12.8%), showed a notable increase, likely influenced by May's extended evenings and bank holidays which may have increased outdoor socialising and drinking. The seasonal context of longer days and warmer weather aligns with the UK's general trend of higher crime rates in spring, though Horndean's specific patterns highlight local factors. Property crimes, including burglary and vehicle crime, fell sharply, with burglary incidents dropping from six to one. This could reflect improved security in residential areas or a shift in criminal activity towards public spaces. The stark contrast between falling property crimes and rising disorder offences illustrates the complex relationship between environmental factors and crime patterns in this built-up area within Havant. The data also shows that shoplifting and anti-social behaviour are significantly below UK averages, indicating that Horndean's community may have effective measures in place to deter these types of offences. However, the increase in public order offences raises questions about the impact of seasonal events and the need for targeted interventions in high-traffic areas.

Public order offences saw the most dramatic month-on-month increase, surging 280% from 5 to 19 cases. This jump, combined with a 128.6% rise in criminal damage and arson, points to a significant shift in crime dynamics. Violence and sexual offences, which account for 53% of all crimes, remain 15% below the UK average at 2.4 per 1,000. Meanwhile, burglary and vehicle crime each fell 83.3% from April, with only one incident reported in May compared to six the previous month. This stark reduction may reflect improved security measures or seasonal factors, as May's longer evenings could have deterred outdoor crimes. Anti-social behaviour also dropped by half, though public order offences now dominate the crime mix. The contrast between falling property crimes and rising disorder offences highlights a combination of local conditions and community engagement.

Horndean's crime rate in May 2025 rose 9.6% from April's 4.1 per 1,000 to 4.5 per 1,000, marking the first monthly increase since early 2025. This translates to roughly 5 crimes reported daily, or one crime for every 223 residents over the course of the month. While the overall rate remains 44.4% below the UK average, the shift in crime mix suggests evolving patterns. The daily figure provides a tangible sense of frequency for residents, though it does not account for variations in population density or local demographics. The monthly exposure metric places the risk in context, showing that most residents are unaffected, but the rise in public order offences may signal heightened activity in social spaces during extended evenings. The increase follows a trend of stable crime rates since January, but the 9.6% rise indicates a potential shift requiring continued monitoring.