For every 1,000 residents in Horndean, 4.1 crimes were reported in November 2025 — a rate 43.8% below the UK average of 7.3. This translates to a 1-in-243 chance of experiencing a crime over the course of the month, a figure that contextualises the risk for local residents. The most prevalent crime category was violence and sexual offences, accounting for 44.5% of all incidents, followed by burglary (11.0%) and anti-social behaviour (10.2%). This pattern aligns with the area’s character as a built-up suburb with a mix of residential and retail spaces, where public spaces may see higher levels of interpersonal conflict. November’s seasonal context — marked by dark evenings, Bonfire Night, and Black Friday shopping — may have influenced patterns. Violent crime rates were 30% below the UK average for this category, consistent with Horndean’s relatively low levels of serious violence. Meanwhile, burglary in the area was 67% above the UK average, a figure that may reflect the presence of homes in older, less secure housing stock. These findings suggest a combination of local demographics, infrastructure, and seasonal rhythms, though further analysis would be needed to establish causation.