The question of whether crime rates in Hereford exhibit seasonal trends is a common one. Based on available data, Hereford, a Built-Up Area (BUA) with a population of 61,582, currently has a crime rate of 92.1 per 1,000 residents. This is marginally higher than the UK average of 91.6. Importantly, the overall safety score for Hereford stands at 79/100, which is consistent with the national average of 79.
Currently, the data indicates a stable trend in crime rates for Hereford, with a year-on-year (YoY) decrease of 4.8%. However, the data doesn't provide specific details on seasonal fluctuations. Without a breakdown of crime data by month or season, it’s difficult to definitively state whether there are predictable peaks or troughs in crime during particular times of the year. Factors influencing crime rates can be complex and may include changes in daylight hours, school holidays, seasonal employment patterns, or even weather conditions.
It's crucial to remember that crime statistics can be influenced by various reporting factors and changes in police recording practices. While the overall trend is stable, this doesn't preclude the possibility of localised or short-term variations in crime types. Further investigation into more granular data, if available from Herefordshire Council or West Mercia Police, would be needed to determine if any seasonal patterns exist. The slight increase in the crime rate compared to the UK average (92.1 vs 91.6) warrants continued vigilance and community engagement to maintain safety.