Predicting future crime trends is complex, but based on current data, Leominster in Herefordshire is showing a stable pattern. As of the most recent data available, Leominster’s crime rate stands at 113.6 incidents per 1,000 residents. This is higher than the UK average of 91.6 per 1,000. The area also has a safety score of 73 out of 100, which is below the UK average of 79.
The term 'stable' in this context indicates that the crime rate hasn’t significantly increased or decreased year-on-year. Specifically, the trend shows a 5.0% year-on-year change. It's important to understand that a 'stable' trend doesn't necessarily mean crime is low; it simply means it’s not experiencing dramatic shifts. A 5% change, while considered stable, still represents a notable fluctuation.
It's also crucial to consider the population of Leominster, which is 11,924. Crime rates are often expressed per capita to allow for comparisons between areas of different sizes. While the crime rate is above the national average, it's vital to assess the context behind these figures – factors such as socioeconomic conditions, policing strategies, and community engagement all play a role.
Looking ahead, several factors could influence future crime trends in Leominster. Changes in policing resources, local economic conditions, and demographic shifts could all contribute to variations. While a stable trend is encouraging, continued monitoring and proactive measures are essential to ensure the safety and well-being of Leominster residents. Future analysis should track any changes in these influencing factors to better understand potential crime rate shifts.