Carnforth Crime Rate July 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Carnforth’s crime profile in July 2023 reveals a marked disparity between property-related and violent crimes, with property offences (12 incidents) slightly outnumbering violent crimes (7). The overall crime rate of 4.9 per 1,000 residents places the area 41% below the UK average of 8.3, a gap that underscores the relative safety of Carnforth compared to national benchmarks. The most prevalent crime type was criminal damage and arson, accounting for 29.6% of all incidents, followed closely by anti-social behaviour (25.9%) and violence and sexual offences (25.9%). This distribution suggests a focus on property disruption and disorderly conduct, which may be influenced by the area’s seasonal rhythms. July, a peak summer month, typically sees increased activity in public spaces, with schools closed and tourism at its height. These factors could contribute to a higher incidence of anti-social behaviour and vandalism. Carnforth’s violent crime rate (1.3 per 1,000) is 53% below the UK average, a statistic consistent with the area’s character as a relatively stable built-up zone within Lancaster. The low rates of shoplifting, burglary, and other theft further support this narrative, indicating that property crimes in Carnforth are more likely to involve damage rather than opportunistic theft. The interplay between local demographics, seasonal events, and enforcement efforts likely shapes these patterns, though can be established from the data alone.

July 2023 witnessed a stark contrast in crime trends, with criminal damage and arson surging by 300% (from 2 to 8 incidents) compared to June, a jump that outpaces all other categories. This sharp rise, though still below the UK average for similar offences (0.6 per 1,000), suggests a potential focus on property-related disruptions during the summer. Concurrently, violent crimes and anti-social behaviour declined significantly, with violence and sexual offences dropping by 58.8% (from 17 to 7) and anti-social behaviour falling by 30% (from 10 to 7). These decreases align with seasonal patterns typical of peak summer months, when schools are closed and community engagement in public spaces increases. Drugs and other theft each saw a 100% increase from zero to one incident, though these remain well below UK averages for their respective categories. The shift in crime mix—property crimes (12) slightly outpacing violent crimes (7)—may reflect the area’s character as a commuter hub, where transient populations and seasonal events could influence local crime dynamics.

Carnforth’s crime rate in July 2023 (4.9 per 1,000 residents) represents an 18.2% decrease from the previous month’s rate of 6.0 per 1,000, reflecting a downward trend in local criminal activity. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 204 residents, a figure that contextualises the scale of incidents within the area’s population of 5,508. On a daily basis, Carnforth experienced approximately one crime per day, a rate that remains significantly lower than the UK average. This localised perspective highlights the relative safety of the area compared to broader national trends. While the monthly exposure metric (1-in-204 residents) provides a snapshot of risk, such figures do not account for variations in reporting or the specific nature of incidents. The sustained decline from June to July underscores a potential shift in community dynamics or enforcement effectiveness, though can be confirmed without further analysis.