Carnforth Crime Rate November 2023 | Monthly Statistics

In November 2023, Carnforth’s crime rate stood at 5.5 per 1,000 residents, placing it 26.7% below the UK average of 7.5 per 1,000. This figure translates to a per-capita risk that, while not insignificant, remains lower than the national benchmark. The most prevalent crime type was violence and sexual offences, accounting for 43.3% of all reported incidents, followed by anti-social behaviour (13.3%) and criminal damage and arson (10.0%). These patterns may be influenced by the area’s built-up character and seasonal factors such as darker evenings and events like Bonfire Night, which can heighten the likelihood of interpersonal conflicts and public disturbances. The relatively low rate of property crimes compared to violent crimes contrasts with broader UK trends, where property offences often dominate. This discrepancy could reflect Carnforth’s unique social and economic profile, shaped by its role as a transport hub within the Lancaster region. Additionally, the presence of local amenities and community structures may contribute to a lower incidence of theft and burglary, though the 18% increase in burglary compared to the UK average suggests specific vulnerabilities in residential security that warrant further attention. The seasonal context of November—marked by shorter days, the approach of winter, and the commercial activity of Black Friday—likely played a role in shaping these figures, with increased foot traffic and lighting conditions influencing both crime patterns and police visibility.

Violence and sexual offences surged by 225% in November, rising from 4 to 13 incidents—a stark shift that may reflect the impact of darker evenings and seasonal events like Bonfire Night. Other theft also rose sharply, increasing by 200% to 3 cases, potentially linked to increased retail activity around Black Friday. Conversely, anti-social behaviour fell by 55.6%, suggesting a possible reduction in public disturbances, though this may be influenced by temporary factors such as seasonal changes in social activity. Burglary, at 0.4 per 1,000, is 18% above the UK average, highlighting a specific vulnerability in residential security that could be tied to the area’s built-up nature and proximity to transport links. These fluctuations illustrate the dynamic interplay between local conditions and national crime trends, with some categories deviating significantly from UK averages while others align more closely.

Carnforth's crime rate in November 2023 rose by 36.6% compared to the previous month, moving from 4.0 to 5.5 per 1,000 residents. This increase, though significant, remains 26.7% below the UK average of 7.5 per 1,000. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately one crime per day in November—a figure that may feel more tangible for residents navigating local streets. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 184 residents, translating to a monthly exposure rate that, while not negligible, remains relatively low in the context of national trends. The population context is key here: with 5,508 residents, the 30 recorded crimes represent a manageable proportion of the community, though the rise in violent crimes warrants attention. This shift may reflect seasonal factors such as darker evenings and Bonfire Night, which could have influenced public safety dynamics in ways that align with broader patterns seen in similar built-up areas.