Carnforth Crime Rate October 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Carnforth’s crime rate in October 2024 stood at 7.1 per 1,000 residents, 12.3% below the UK average of 8.1. This places the area among the safer built-up areas in England, though the distribution of crime types reveals specific vulnerabilities. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 38.5% of total incidents, the highest proportion of any category, followed by shoplifting (15.4%) and public order offences (12.8%). The seasonal context of October—darker evenings, the approach of Halloween, and the end of the university term—may have contributed to increased opportunities for violent and property-related crimes. The rise in shoplifting, which now exceeds the UK average by 53%, could be linked to retail activity around the October half-term holidays or the increased presence of transient populations in the area. Public order offences, at 1.1 per 1,000 residents, are 61% above the UK average, reflecting heightened social interactions in public spaces during the month. However, the area’s lower-than-average rates for anti-social behaviour (69% below UK average) and vehicle crime (57% below UK average) suggest a generally stable community environment, with fewer incidents of disorder or vehicle-related theft. These patterns highlight the need for targeted awareness around retail and public areas, while also underscoring the area’s overall lower crime profile compared to national benchmarks.

October 2024 saw a 500% increase in shoplifting, with the category rising from 1 to 6 incidents. This surge, which now stands at 1.1 per 1,000 residents, is 53% above the UK average for shoplifting. Burglary also doubled from 0 to 3 incidents, placing it 52% above the UK average for this category. Vehicle crime, previously nonexistent, rose to 1 incident, a 100% increase. These spikes in property-related crimes contrast with a 66.7% decline in anti-social behaviour, which fell from 6 to 2 incidents. The area’s violent crime rate of 2.7 per 1,000 residents is statistically aligned with the UK average, but the 38.5% share of total crimes attributed to violence and sexual offences is a stark contrast to the 12.8% share for public order offences. Residents should be particularly vigilant around retail areas, where shoplifting rates are 53% above the UK average and may be linked to Halloween-related activity or increased foot traffic.

Carnforth's crime rate in October 2024 rose sharply to 7.1 per 1,000 residents, a 55.9% increase from the previous month’s rate of 4.5 per 1,000. This surge positions the area as one of the fastest-growing crime hotspots in the region over the past two months. On a daily basis, 1 crime was reported per day in October, a figure that, while modest, reflects a marked acceleration in incident frequency. When scaled to the population of 5,508, this translates to one reported crime occurring for roughly every 141 residents over the course of the month. This monthly exposure rate is higher than the 1-in-200 average seen in some comparable towns, though it remains below the UK average. The shift in crime types—from anti-social behaviour dominating in September to property crimes and violence now leading—suggests a seasonal realignment in criminal activity patterns. This may be partly explained by October’s darker evenings, which could increase opportunities for violent offences and shoplifting in retail areas.