Carnforth Crime Rate May 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Carnforth's crime rate in May 2025 stood at 7.4 per 1,000, placing it 8.6% below the UK average of 8.1 per 1,000. This figure reflects a 20.6% increase from April's 6.2 per 1,000, driven by significant shifts in crime patterns. Violence and sexual offences emerged as the most reported category, accounting for 39.0% of total crimes (16 cases), with anti-social behaviour following closely at 36.6% (15 cases). These trends align with May's seasonal context — longer evenings, bank holidays, and increased outdoor socialising, which may have contributed to heightened interactions in public spaces. Shoplifting, though a minor component of total crimes (7.3%), saw a 200% month-on-month increase from 1 to 3 cases, suggesting potential links to retail activity or seasonal shopping patterns. The area's crime profile contrasts with the UK average in several categories: anti-social behaviour is 90% above the UK rate, while criminal damage and arson are 33% below. This discrepancy may reflect Carnforth's built-up area characteristics, where concentrated populations could both amplify certain crimes and mitigate others through community presence. The data also shows that vehicle crime, at 0.4 per 1,000, matches the UK average, indicating no significant localisation of this category. Overall, the May figures illustrate a dynamic interplay between seasonal factors, local demographics, and crime reporting trends, with implications for ongoing community safety initiatives.

The most dramatic month-on-month shift in May 2025 was a 200% increase in shoplifting, rising from 1 to 3 incidents. This surge, though still below the UK average of 0.7 per 1,000, contrasts sharply with the 33% decline in criminal damage and arson, which fell from 3 to 2. Violence and sexual offences also rose significantly, increasing by 77.8% to 16 cases — a category that sits 2% above the UK average of 2.8 per 1,000. Anti-social behaviour, the second most common crime, saw 15 reports (36.6% of total crimes), 90% above the UK average of 1.4 per 1,000. This suggests a potential link to the extended evenings and increased outdoor socialising typical of May, which may have amplified interactions in public spaces. Vehicle crime doubled from 1 to 2 cases, aligning with the UK average of 0.4 per 1,000. These shifts highlight a combination of seasonal activity and local crime dynamics.

Carnforth's crime rate in May 2025 rose 20.6% compared to April's 6.2 per 1,000, reaching 7.4 per 1,000. This shift reflects a 13% increase in total crimes, with 41 reported over 31 days — roughly 1 crime per day. Monthly exposure calculations show that over the course of May, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 134 residents. While this figure remains below the UK average of 8.1 per 1,000, the month-on-month jump highlights a notable acceleration in criminal activity. The population-scaled perspective reveals that Carnforth's 5,508 residents experienced 41 crimes, equating to a 0.74% incidence rate. This rate is lower than the UK average but shows a marked increase from April, suggesting seasonal or situational factors may have influenced reporting patterns. The daily crime context provides a concrete measure for residents: in any given day, the probability of a crime occurring in Carnforth is approximately 1 in 134, a figure that contextualises the area's safety within its demographic framework.