Carnforth Crime Rate September 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Carnforth's overall crime rate in September 2025 stood at 4.0 per 1,000 residents, placing it 45.9% below the UK average of 7.4 per 1,000. This stark contrast with national figures highlights the area's relatively low crime profile, which has been maintained through consistent community engagement and local policing efforts. The most prevalent crime types were anti-social behaviour (36.4% of total incidents) and violence and sexual offences (27.3%), though both categories showed notable shifts compared to earlier in the year. The seasonal context of September—marked by the start of the academic year and shorter evenings—likely contributed to patterns observed in reported incidents. Anti-social behaviour, while remaining the most common category, decreased by 33.3% from August's 12 incidents to 8 in September. This decline may reflect the stabilisation of community activity as schools resumed and local events returned to pre-summer levels. Violence and sexual offences also fell by 40.0%, from 10 to 6 incidents, a reduction that could be linked to the quieter social calendar typical of this time of year. Meanwhile, the breakdown of crime types illustrates a balance between property-related and personal safety concerns, with vehicle crime (18.2%) and shoplifting (9.1%) contributing to the property crime category. The area's built-up nature within Lancaster, combined with its role as a commuter hub, may explain the persistence of vehicle-related offences, though the sharp increase in this category from 1 to 4 incidents requires further contextual analysis.

September 2025 saw a 300% month-on-month increase in vehicle crime, rising from 1 to 4 incidents. This spike, though significant, remained below the UK average of 0.4 per 1,000 (Carnforth recorded 0.7 per 1,000). Conversely, violent crime dropped sharply by 40.0%, with incidents falling from 10 to 6, a trend that placed the area 57% below the UK average for this category. Anti-social behaviour also decreased by 33.3%, from 12 to 8 incidents, though this category still exceeded the UK average by 28%, with 1.5 per 1,000 incidents compared to the national rate of 1.2 per 1,000. Shoplifting increased by 100%, from 1 to 2 incidents, a change that may be linked to the return of students to local institutions during the academic year. Meanwhile, criminal damage and arson saw a 100% rise, with one incident reported in September compared to none in August, though this category remained 62% below the UK average. These fluctuations highlight the combination of seasonal factors and local dynamics, with the back-to-school period and shorter evenings likely influencing the observed trends. For residents, the sharp rise in vehicle crime serves as a specific data point to monitor, particularly given the area's commuter infrastructure and proximity to major transport routes.

Carnforth's September 2025 crime rate of 4.0 per 1,000 residents marked a 29.1% decrease from the previous month's rate of 5.6 per 1,000. This reduction translates to a daily crime count of approximately 1 incident per day over the 30-day period, a figure that, while low, underscores the area's relatively stable security environment. When scaled to the local population, this equates to one reported crime occurring for roughly every 250 residents over the course of the month—a statistic that provides a tangible sense of the area's crime exposure. Compared to the UK average, Carnforth's performance remains markedly better, with its overall rate nearly half that of the national figure. This comparative advantage is particularly evident in categories such as violence and sexual offences, where the area's rate is 57% below the UK average, and other theft, where it is 60% below. However, the area's anti-social behaviour rate (1.5 per 1,000) still exceeds the UK average by 28%, a disparity that may reflect local social dynamics or policing priorities. The monthly exposure metric offers residents a clear benchmark: in a community of 5,508 people, the likelihood of experiencing a crime is significantly lower than the UK average, though specific categories like anti-social behaviour remain areas for targeted attention. These figures collectively illustrate that while Carnforth's overall crime profile is strong, certain localised challenges persist, requiring continued monitoring and community-focused strategies.