Aberfan Crime Rate November 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Aberfan’s crime rate in November 2024 stood at 1.6 per 1,000 residents, placing the area 78.9% below the UK average of 7.6 per 1,000. This stark contrast to the national picture highlights Aberfan’s relatively secure environment, a feature that may be influenced by its built-up yet small-scale nature. The crime profile was dominated by violent offences, which accounted for 72.7% of all reported incidents (8 cases), followed by other theft (18.2%, 2 cases) and anti-social behaviour (9.1%, 1 case). The dominance of violent crime in Aberfan’s statistics, though significantly lower than the UK average for this category (2.6 per 1,000), raises questions about local factors that may contribute to this pattern. Given Aberfan’s proximity to Merthyr Tydfil and its status as a built-up area, it is plausible that social dynamics, community policing, or demographic characteristics play a role in shaping these outcomes. Seasonal factors also appear to influence the crime picture: the extended darkness of November, coupled with events like Bonfire Night and the start of the Christmas shopping season, may have contributed to the 33.3% increase in violent crimes compared to the previous month. However, these incidents remain far below the UK average, suggesting that broader environmental or societal factors in Aberfan may mitigate risks typically associated with such events. The low overall crime rate, combined with the absence of major property crime, illustrates an area where community cohesion and local initiatives may be effective in maintaining safety, even during months marked by heightened social activity.

November 2024 saw notable shifts in Aberfan’s crime mix, with violent crimes rising by 33.3% from 6 to 8 incidents. This increase, though modest in absolute terms, contrasts with the overall trend of a 15.1% monthly decline in crime rates. The rise in violent crimes may partly explain the area’s 72.7% share of total incidents, a proportion that remains 57% below the UK average for this category. Other theft also saw a dramatic 100% increase, jumping from 0 to 2 incidents, though this rate (0.3 per 1,000) is still 45% below the UK average of 0.6 per 1,000. Anti-social behaviour, which rose from 0 to 1 incident, now sits at a rate 91% below the UK average. These fluctuations, particularly the spike in violent crimes, may be linked to seasonal factors such as Bonfire Night and the extended darkness of November evenings, which could influence social interactions and incident reporting. For residents, the most immediate takeaway is the relatively low likelihood of encountering crime, with violent incidents remaining significantly below national levels despite the monthly increase.

Aberfan's crime rate in November 2024 (1.6 per 1,000 residents) represents a 15.1% decrease from the previous month’s rate of 1.9 per 1,000. This decline aligns with a broader trend observed in the area over recent months, though the monthly figure remains exceptionally low compared to national benchmarks. Daily crime statistics for the month show an average of 0 crimes per day, a figure that underscores the rarity of incidents in this built-up area. Over the course of November, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 638 residents, a ratio that highlights the relatively low monthly exposure to crime for Aberfan’s population of 7,014. When contextualised against the UK average, this rate is 78.9% below the national figure, a disparity that suggests Aberfan’s crime profile is significantly more favourable than the UK average. This comparison is particularly striking given the area’s built-up nature, which typically correlates with higher crime rates in other regions. The low daily crime count and monthly exposure figures indicate that residents face a markedly lower risk of encountering crime compared to the average UK resident, a factor that may be influenced by local policing strategies, community cohesion, or the area’s unique demographic composition.