Merthyr Tydfil Crime Rate November 2025 | Monthly Statistics

In November 2025, Merthyr Tydfil recorded a crime rate of 8.1 per 1,000 residents, placing the area 11% above the UK average of 7.3. This figure underscores a persistent challenge in local crime management, with violent crimes dominating the landscape. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 40.6% of all reported incidents, significantly outpacing their UK counterparts by 28%. The dominance of violent crime over property crime—194 incidents compared to 146—suggests a combination of social dynamics and environmental factors. Seasonal influences may have played a role, with November's shorter evenings and events like Bonfire Night potentially contributing to increased tensions. However, the absence of a sharp rise in property crimes, which typically correlate with retail activity, may indicate that local efforts to address shoplifting and burglary have had some effect. The UK average for anti-social behaviour is 1.1 per 1,000, yet Merthyr Tydfil's rate of 1.0 per 1,000 suggests a slightly lower prevalence of this category, due to community initiatives or local policing strategies. The seasonal context of November—marked by Black Friday shopping, the end of the academic term, and the approach of winter—adds layers to the analysis, with darker evenings affecting both victim opportunities and offender visibility. These patterns align with Merthyr Tydfil's historical character as a post-industrial town, where economic challenges and social cohesion may intersect to influence crime trends. While direct causal links, the interplay between seasonal factors and crime rates offers a framework for understanding the local picture.

The balance between property and violent crime in Merthyr Tydfil shifted markedly in November 2025, with violent crimes (194) outpacing property crimes (146) by a significant margin. This dominance of violent crime contrasts with the UK average, where violence and sexual offences are 28% lower than the local rate. Among the most notable month-on-month changes, possession of weapons saw a 50% increase, rising from 2 to 3 incidents. This surge, though small in absolute terms, could signal emerging trends in weapon-related offences. Conversely, vehicle crime dropped sharply by 58.1%, declining from 31 to 13 incidents—a reduction that may reflect improved security measures or seasonal factors. The sharp decline in public order offences (down 31.9%) also stands out. For residents, the fact that Merthyr Tydfil's violent crime rate is 28% above the UK average offers a stark contrast to the national picture, suggesting local-specific challenges that require targeted responses.

Merthyr Tydfil's crime rate in November 2025 fell by 13.1% compared to October 2025, dropping from 9.3 to 8.1 per 1,000 residents. This decline, though modest, suggests a potential shift in local crime dynamics. On average, 16 crimes were reported daily during the month, a figure that underscores the persistent presence of criminal activity in the area. When viewed through the lens of population, the monthly exposure rate of 1-in-123 residents highlights the frequency with which crime intersects with everyday life. This statistic, while not alarming in absolute terms, remains a reminder of the need for continued vigilance and community engagement. The local population of 58,972 means that even small changes in crime rates can have measurable impacts on residents' sense of safety. The decrease from the previous month may reflect seasonal factors, such as reduced foot traffic during darker evenings or the winding down of Black Friday-related activity, though these remain speculative without further data.