Abergavenny Crime Rate October 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Abergavenny’s crime rate in October 2023 stood at 10.2 per 1,000 residents, marking a 27.5% increase above the UK average of 8.0 per 1,000. This places the area among the higher-crime regions in the UK, though the nature of the crimes reveals a complex picture. Violence and sexual offences were the most common category, accounting for 33.5% of all crimes, followed by anti-social behaviour (24.1%) and public order offences (12.7%). These figures align with the area’s built-up character, where dense residential and commercial zones may contribute to higher rates of interpersonal conflicts and public disorder. Seasonal factors in October—such as darker evenings, the transition from autumn to winter, and the proximity of Halloween—likely influenced crime patterns, with increased anti-social behaviour and property-related incidents. However, some categories showed promising declines. Shoplifting fell by 33.3% compared to September, possibly reflecting heightened vigilance during the pre-Christmas shopping period or improved retail security measures. Similarly, public order offences decreased by 23.1%, though they remained significantly above the UK average. The data also highlights a stark contrast in property crime: while burglary and vehicle crime were both below UK averages, criminal damage and arson surged by 1800%, indicating a need for targeted interventions in this area. These trends underscore the importance of understanding local dynamics, as Abergavenny’s crime profile is shaped by both its geographical context and the seasonal rhythms of the month.

October 2023 saw stark contrasts in crime trends, with several categories showing dramatic shifts. Criminal damage and arson increased by 1800% compared to September, rising from one incident to 19—a jump that likely reflects seasonal factors such as Halloween or increased property neglect during colder evenings. Conversely, shoplifting dropped by 33.3%, with incidents falling from nine to six, possibly linked to seasonal retail patterns or improved security measures in local stores. Anti-social behaviour remained a persistent issue, contributing 24.1% of all crimes.5 per 1,000 is 95% above the UK average of 1.3 per 1,000. This disparity may be influenced by Abergavenny’s built-up area status, where concentrated populations can amplify such incidents. Other theft and shoplifting both fell below UK averages, suggesting localized efforts in these areas may be yielding results.

Abergavenny's crime rate in October 2023 rose to 10.2 per 1,000 residents, a 6.7% increase from September’s 9.6 per 1,000. This places the area 27.5% above the UK average of 8.0 per 1,000, reflecting persistent challenges in crime management. On a daily basis, 5 crimes were reported each day in October, translating to one crime occurring for roughly every 98 residents over the course of the month. While this monthly exposure rate is a local measure, it underscores the frequency of incidents in a relatively small population of 15,489. The population context highlights the relative impact of crime, as even a modest number of incidents can feel significant in a tight-knit community. These figures contrast with national trends, suggesting that Abergavenny’s unique social dynamics or environmental factors may contribute to its elevated rates compared to the UK average.