Abergavenny Crime Rate October 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Abergavenny's October 2024 crime rate of 11.2 per 1,000 residents places it 38.3% above the UK average of 8.1, reflecting a persistent challenge in maintaining public safety in this mid-sized town. Violence and sexual offences dominated the crime profile, accounting for 36.4% of all incidents—54% above the UK average. This may be influenced by the area's compact built-up environment, where social interactions are more concentrated, and the seasonal shift to darker evenings, which could heighten perceived risk and alter public behaviour. Anti-social behaviour (20.8% of total crimes) and public order offences (12.1%) also significantly outperformed UK averages, suggesting that local community dynamics, such as the town's mix of residential and commercial zones, may contribute to these trends. The seasonal context of October—marked by the clocks going back and Halloween—likely amplified certain patterns, with increased foot traffic in retail and leisure areas contributing to anti-social incidents. While property crimes (46 total) constituted a smaller share than violent crimes, the 36% gap between Abergavenny's vehicle crime rate and the UK average may indicate that lower traffic density or effective policing in parking areas has mitigated this category. The overall rate, though above the UK average, shows a 9.9% monthly decline from September, which may be attributed to targeted interventions or the natural ebb and flow of seasonal crime patterns. This data underscores the need for continued monitoring of high-risk categories while leveraging local insights to tailor crime prevention strategies.

October 2024 saw a 9.9% reduction in Abergavenny's overall crime rate compared to September, driven by a 61.5% drop in other thefts and a 20% decrease in burglary. This decline contrasts with sharp increases in other crime (+100%), vehicle crime (+100%), and robbery (+100%), though these remain relatively low in absolute terms. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 36.4% of all crimes, a rate 54% above the UK average, likely linked to the area's small-town dynamics and seasonal factors such as Halloween. Anti-social behaviour, at 20.8% of total crimes, was 78% above the UK average, potentially influenced by the transition to darker evenings and increased social activity in local pubs and public spaces. Vehicle crime was 36% below the UK average, suggesting that Abergavenny's lower traffic density or community policing efforts may contribute to this disparity. The 100% increase in robbery, while statistically significant, remains an isolated incident (1 case), indicating no immediate cause for alarm but warranting continued monitoring.

Abergavenny's crime rate in October 2024 stood at 11.2 per 1,000 residents, a 9.9% decrease from the previous month's 12.4 per 1,000. This marks a notable shift in the local crime profile, with daily crime averaging approximately 6 incidents per day over the 31-day period. When scaled to the population of 15,489, this equates to one reported crime for every 90 residents over the course of the month. While the overall rate remains significantly above the UK average, the decline from September suggests potential effectiveness in recent policing strategies or seasonal factors influencing crime patterns. The reduction in burglary and other thefts, which fell by 20% and 61.5% respectively, may reflect improved community engagement or targeted interventions in high-risk areas. However, the monthly exposure figure—1-in-90 residents—still indicates a higher-than-average burden on local resources compared to the UK context, where the average is lower by a margin not specified in the data.