Abergavenny Crime Rate January 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Abergavenny’s built-up area recorded 133 crimes in January 2025, translating to a crime rate of 8.6 per 1,000 residents—21.1% above the UK average of 7.1 per 1,000. This figure equates to roughly one crime for every 117 residents over the course of the month, a statistic that contextualises the scale of criminal activity in a community of 15,489 people. The most prevalent crime types were violence and sexual offences (27.1% of total), anti-social behaviour (24.8%), and shoplifting (14.3%), with the latter two categories far exceeding UK averages. The post-holiday period in January, combined with reduced retail footfall and shorter days, may partly explain the lower-than-expected shoplifting rates compared to typical winter months. However, the elevated levels of anti-social behaviour—114% above the UK average—suggest a persistent challenge in managing community disorder, potentially linked to the area’s social dynamics and local infrastructure. The seasonal context, with fewer outdoor crimes typical of shorter winter days, aligns with the data showing a decrease in vehicle crime (76% below UK average) and burglary (33% below UK average), both of which are more common in areas with higher foot traffic or unsecured properties. These patterns illustrate how geographic and temporal factors interact to shape crime trends, even in a relatively small built-up area.

January 2025 saw significant fluctuations in crime categories, with three types experiencing 100% increases: other crime, robbery, and possession of weapons. These jumps, from zero to two incidents each, signal emerging trends that may warrant closer attention. Conversely, drugs-related offences dropped by 50%, and burglary cases also fell by 50%, suggesting potential successes in targeted interventions or seasonal factors influencing these areas. The breakdown of crime types reveals stark contrasts with UK averages: anti-social behaviour (114% above) and shoplifting (94% above) were particularly elevated, while drugs (23% below) and burglary (33% below) showed marked reductions. These divergences highlight the need for tailored strategies, as local patterns deviate significantly from national norms. For residents, the 27.1% share of violence and sexual offences—though 8% below the UK average—remains the most prevalent category, underscoring the importance of community safety initiatives in this area.

Abergavenny’s crime rate in January 2025 fell by 15.8% compared to December’s 10.2 per 1,000 residents, marking a notable downward trend. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 116 residents, a figure that contextualises the monthly exposure for local residents. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately four crimes per day, a rate that, while not negligible, remains within the bounds of typical fluctuations for a built-up area of this size. This daily context is particularly useful for residents seeking to understand the immediate impact of crime on their daily lives. The population-scaled perspective further underscores that, despite the 21.1% increase over the UK average, the absolute number of crimes remains relatively low when considered against Abergavenny’s population of 15,489. This suggests that while the area faces challenges in certain crime categories, the overall burden is manageable within its demographic and geographic context.