Abergavenny Crime Rate June 2025 | Monthly Statistics

June 2025 marked a significant shift in Abergavenny's crime profile, with shoplifting surging to become the most prevalent category. The area's overall crime rate of 8.4 per 1,000 places it 3.7% above the UK average, a marginal but notable deviation. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 30.8% of all crimes, followed by shoplifting (16.9%) and anti-social behaviour (16.2%), the latter of which saw a 27.6% monthly decline. This distribution suggests a combination of public order issues and property-related crimes, with the former dominating the violent crime category. The seasonal context of June—marking the start of summer and the onset of tourism in Monmouthshire—may influence these patterns, as increased foot traffic in retail areas could contribute to shoplifting incidents. However, the significant 122% gap between Abergavenny's shoplifting rate and the UK average of 0.6 per 1,000 indicates a unique local dynamic that warrants further exploration. While anti-social behaviour decreased, the rise in burglary and robbery—both of which saw substantial increases—hints at potential vulnerabilities in residential areas. The balance between property and violent crime remains relatively stable, with property crimes comprising 54.6% of the total. This stability, despite the shoplifting surge, suggests that Abergavenny's crime profile is not yet trending toward a major shift in the types of offences occurring. The area's character as a built-up area within Monmouthshire, with its mix of historic sites and local businesses, likely shapes these patterns, though the exact drivers of the shoplifting spike remain to be determined.

The most dramatic month-on-month change in June 2025 was the 266.7% surge in shoplifting, rising from six to 22 incidents. This spike, the largest among all categories, may partly explain the overall 6.5% increase in the area's crime rate compared to May. Shoplifting's rate of 1.4 per 1,000 is 122% above the UK average of 0.6 per 1,000, a stark contrast that suggests local retail environments may be experiencing heightened vulnerability. Concurrently, burglary saw a 300% increase, jumping from one to four incidents, a shift that could reflect seasonal patterns or changes in property security practices. Anti-social behaviour also declined by 27.6%, dropping from 29 to 21 incidents, a reduction that may be linked to summer activities drawing attention away from public spaces. Vehicle crime fell by 20%, from five to four, a decrease that aligns with the UK average of 0.4 per 1,000. Residents may find the shoplifting data particularly noteworthy, as it highlights a specific vulnerability in local businesses during the early summer period.

Abergavenny's crime rate in June 2025 rose 6.5% from the previous month's 7.9 per 1,000 to 8.4 per 1,000. This places the built-up area 3.7% above the UK average, reflecting a slight but notable upward trend. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately four crimes per day, a figure that contextualises the pace of incidents for residents. Over the course of June, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 119 residents, a monthly exposure rate that highlights the frequency of incidents in a localised timeframe. While this rate is not directly comparable to national figures, it offers a tangible measure of how often crime occurs within the community. The population context—15,489 residents—means each individual faces a 0.084% chance of being a victim in any given month, a statistic that underscores the scale of the issue relative to the area's size. This upward shift, though modest, suggests a need for continued monitoring of patterns that may emerge as the summer season progresses.