Caldicot Crime Rate

Caldicot's crime rate of 54.7 per 1,000 residents is 40% below the UK average, making it a notably safer area than most. Despite this, the data reveals a 32.8% year-on-year decline in overall crime, with burglary falling by 81.8%—a stark contrast to the UK's average trend. These figures suggest a combination of effective local policing and community engagement, though the area's proximity to other towns may still influence specific crime patterns.

Caldicot is a historic built-up area in Monmouthshire, blending rural charm with local amenities. As a small commuter town with a population of around 9,855, it features a mix of residential zones, retail hubs, and open spaces. Its lower population density and community-oriented character likely contribute to its comparatively lower crime rates compared to larger urban centres. However, proximity to nearby towns and seasonal tourism may influence local crime patterns.

The most striking finding in Caldicot's crime profile is its exceptionally low rate of violence and sexual offences—34% below the UK average. This contrasts with national trends, where such crimes often dominate urban statistics. The area’s lower population density and strong community ties may deter violent crime. Anti-social behaviour, while still present, is 19% below the UK average, possibly due to local initiatives or effective policing. Public order incidents remain stable, suggesting a balance between community engagement and enforcement. Notably, property crime in Caldicot is 59.7% below the UK average, likely reflecting a combination of lower economic disparity and effective home security practices in residential areas.

Caldicot's overall crime rate has decreased by 32.8% year-on-year, with the most dramatic drop in burglary (81.8% YoY). This decline is likely influenced by seasonal factors, with crime peaking in August (9.2 per 1,000) and dropping sharply in November (0.1 per 1,000). The annual trend aligns with reduced outdoor activity during colder months, though the area's lower population density may also contribute to sustained reductions in crime.

How To Keep Safe in Caldicot

Residents should prioritize securing vehicles in well-lit, monitored areas to reduce the risk of theft, which remains a concern despite low rates. Reporting anti-social behaviour promptly can help maintain community safety, as such incidents account for 21.9% of crimes. Avoiding isolated areas during late evenings is advisable, as other crimes peak overnight. Engaging with local community initiatives may further strengthen safety networks in the area.

Crime in Caldicot exhibits distinct patterns tied to daily rhythms. Theft peaks in the afternoon (12pm–6pm), aligning with retail activity and potential shoplifting opportunities. Vehicle crime surges overnight (12am–6am), likely due to isolated parking areas or reduced visibility. Other crimes, such as anti-social behaviour, dominate evenings and nights, possibly linked to local social hubs or late-night activity. The data suggests that while daytime theft is concentrated in commercial zones, nighttime risks are more evenly distributed across residential and public spaces.

Compared to nearby areas, Caldicot's crime rate is 64% higher than Portskewett (33.3 per 1,000) and 27% higher than Rogiet (43.0 per 1,000). Caer-went (25.7 per 1,000) remains the region's safest area. These differences likely reflect variations in population density, economic activity, and local policing strategies.

Home security in Caldicot should focus on deterring theft and anti-social behaviour, given these crimes account for 73% of incidents. Proactive boundary detection systems like scOS can identify threats at property perimeters, while multi-camera monitoring ensures coverage of key areas. For vehicle security, DVLA verification can flag stolen or cloned plates, addressing the 1.0 per 1,000 vehicle crime rate. These measures align with the area's need to mitigate risks in both residential and commercial zones.