Caldicot Crime Rate July 2023 | Monthly Statistics

The crime profile in Caldicot during July 2023 reveals a marked dominance of violent crime over property crime, a pattern that may reflect seasonal and demographic factors. With 24 violent crimes recorded compared to just 8 property crimes, the balance suggests heightened social interactions during the summer months. This contrasts with the UK average, where property crime typically holds a larger share of the total. Caldicot’s overall crime rate of 6.3 per 1,000 residents places it 24.1% below the national average of 8.3 per 1,000, a disparity that could be attributed to the area’s rural character and limited urban density. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 38.7% of all crimes, with anti-social behaviour contributing a further 29.0%, both figures indicating a focus on interpersonal conflicts. The seasonal context of July—characterised by school holidays, festivals, and increased tourism—may contribute to this trend. While the area’s smaller population and lower economic activity likely reduce opportunities for property crime, the concentration of violent incidents suggests a need for targeted community engagement strategies. The relatively low rate of vehicle crime (0.2 per 1,000) and burglary (0.1 per 1,000) further underscores the area’s distinct crime dynamics, with both categories far below UK averages. This pattern aligns with the characteristics of a built-up area within Monmouthshire, where community cohesion and limited commercial activity may temper certain types of crime. However, the prominence of anti-social behaviour and public order offences indicates challenges in managing public spaces during peak summer activity.

July 2023 saw significant shifts in Caldicot’s crime mix, with violent crimes outnumbering property crimes by a ratio of 3:1. This contrast with the UK average, where property crime typically constitutes a larger share, highlights local factors influencing crime patterns. Vehicle crime surged by 100%, rising from zero to two incidents, while 'other crime' also doubled to four cases—a development that may reflect increased visibility of non-traditional offences during the summer months. Conversely, shoplifting fell sharply by 66.7%, dropping from six to two incidents, possibly due to the closure of retail premises during holidays or improved security measures. The violent crime category, at 2.4 per 1,000 residents, was 14% below the UK average for violence and sexual offences, suggesting Caldicot’s lower risk of severe interpersonal crime. However, anti-social behaviour (1.8 per 1,000) exceeded the UK average by 27%, indicating a need for targeted interventions in public spaces. For residents, the 100% increase in vehicle crime serves as a concrete reminder to secure vehicles during festivals and events, a period when such crimes are likely to spike due to increased foot traffic and temporary parking arrangements.

Caldicot’s crime rate in July 2023 (6.3 per 1,000 residents) represented a 28.8% decrease from the previous month’s rate of 8.8 per 1,000, a decline that aligns with the seasonal lull in activity typical of rural areas during summer. This reduction, however, must be contextualised within the area’s population scale: over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 159 residents, a monthly exposure rate that remains significantly lower than many urban centres. On a daily basis, Caldicot saw an average of two crimes per day, a figure that appears manageable for a small built-up area but warrants attention during peak periods. The contrast with the UK average is stark, with Caldicot’s overall crime rate 24.1% below the national figure, a gap that may be partly explained by the area’s lower population density and reduced commercial activity. While the previous month’s higher rate (8.8 per 1,000) could have been influenced by transient events or temporary spikes in anti-social behaviour, the sustained drop in July suggests effective community policing or natural seasonal variations. Residents may find the monthly exposure rate particularly useful for understanding risk, as it provides a clearer picture of how crime interacts with the local population than raw daily figures alone.