Caldicot Crime Rate September 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Caldicot's built-up area recorded a crime rate of 7.2 per 1,000 residents in September 2023, placing it 10% below the UK average of 8.0. This performance reflects a combination of local characteristics and seasonal dynamics, with the month marking the transition from summer to autumn. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 38% of all crimes, a category that remained 1% below the UK average. Anti-social behaviour followed at 22.5%, significantly higher than the UK's 1.3 per 1,000, suggesting a need for targeted interventions in community spaces. Public order offences, at 14.1%, were 61% above the UK average, potentially influenced by the area's social mix and local events. The seasonal context of September—marked by back-to-school activities and the start of university terms—may have contributed to fluctuations in crime patterns. The overall rate, while slightly higher than August's 6.5, remains in line with Caldicot's historical performance, which consistently shows lower-than-average crime levels. This resilience could be attributed to the area's relatively low population density, strong community networks, or effective local policing strategies. The distribution of crime types also highlights a stark contrast between violent offences and property crimes, with the former dominating the statistics. This imbalance may be explained by the area's character as a commuter hub or its proximity to larger urban centres, which could influence crime dynamics. The absence of major spikes in property crime, such as burglary or vehicle theft, suggests that local infrastructure or environmental factors may be deterring such incidents. However, the 100% increase in vehicle crime and 200% rise in other thefts indicate areas requiring further attention. These trends, while concerning, must be contextualised within the broader picture of Caldicot's generally lower crime profile compared to national averages. The data invites a nuanced analysis of how local geography, demographics, and seasonal rhythms interact to shape crime patterns, even as they remain below the UK norm.

September 2023 saw a sharp 200% increase in other thefts, rising from 2 to 6 incidents. This spike, though unexplained by the data, may be linked to seasonal factors such as increased foot traffic or changes in retail activity. Meanwhile, vehicle crime doubled from 2 to 4 incidents, a 100% increase that could reflect heightened vulnerability during the transition from summer to autumn. Conversely, public order offences declined by 9.1%, a modest but notable reduction that may be influenced by the area's built-up character and community-focused policing efforts. Violence and sexual offences also decreased slightly by 6.9%, from 29 to 27 incidents. This category remains 1% below the UK average, despite the overall rate increase. The data also reveals anti-social behaviour at 22.5% of all crimes, significantly above the UK average of 1.3 per 1,000, indicating a persistent challenge in managing disruptive conduct within the area's social fabric.

Caldicot's crime rate in September 2023 rose by 10.9% compared to the previous month, moving from 6.5 to 7.2 per 1,000 residents. This increase, though notable, still keeps the area 10% below the UK average of 8.0. Locally, the monthly exposure metric reveals that over the course of September, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 139 residents. This figure contextualises the scale of incidents within the built-up area's population of 9,855. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately two crimes per day, a statistic that aligns with the seasonal rhythm of September, when school and university activities begin. While the overall rate has risen, this must be weighed against the broader UK context: Caldicot's crime rate remains consistently lower than the national average, suggesting systemic factors such as community engagement or local policing strategies may be contributing to this trend. The monthly exposure figure, though a static aggregate, offers residents a tangible reference point for understanding crime frequency in their daily lives.