Caldicot Crime Rate July 2024 | Monthly Statistics

In July 2024, Caldicot’s crime profile revealed a striking imbalance between violent and property crimes, with 30 violent offences recorded compared to 19 property crimes. This divergence, consistent with summer patterns in small towns, may partly explain the elevated focus on violent crime. The overall crime rate of 8.4 per 1,000 matched the UK average, but the composition of offences differed significantly. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 36.1% of all crimes, outpacing their UK average share by 5%, while anti-social behaviour and public order offences were also higher than national benchmarks. This contrast with the UK’s broader crime mix suggests local factors such as increased social activity during July’s peak tourism season and festivals could be influencing patterns. Seasonal rhythms in Caldicot, where schools are out and events draw visitors, often correlate with higher reports of public order issues and alcohol-related disputes. However, property crimes remained relatively low, with shoplifting rates 56% below the UK average, reflecting the area’s lower retail density compared to urban centres. The data illustrates a combination of community dynamics and seasonal pressures, with no single factor dominating the crime picture.

July 2024 saw dramatic spikes in specific offence categories, with public order crimes surging 200% month-on-month from 4 to 12. This leap, coupled with a 100% increase in drug-related offences and possession of weapons, highlights a shift in the crime mix. Violent crimes, at 30 (36.1% of total), were 5% above the UK average, contrasting with property crimes (19) that remained below national levels for categories like shoplifting (56% below UK average) and vehicle crime (57% below). These disparities suggest a localised focus on interpersonal conflicts rather than economic crimes. For residents, the 200% rise in public order offences—now at 1.2 per 1,000—may signal heightened tensions during summer events without further analysis. The UK comparison data also reveals Caldicot’s unique position: while anti-social behaviour was 10% above the UK average, burglary rates were 3% below, indicating a lower risk of residential intrusions than typical for towns of similar size. This mix of above- and below-average figures underscores the need for targeted community engagement strategies during peak activity periods.

Caldicot’s crime rate in July 2024 (8.4 per 1,000) marked a 69.4% increase from the previous month’s 5.0 per 1,000, reflecting a significant upward trend. Translating this into daily terms, the area experienced roughly 3 crimes per day in July—a rate that, while moderate, represents a sharp acceleration from June. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 119 residents, a monthly exposure figure that contextualises the scale of incidents relative to the population of 9,855. This statistic, while not directly comparable to UK-wide data, highlights the local impact of crime within a small built-up area. The previous month’s rate was lower, suggesting July’s surge may align with seasonal factors such as the influx of tourists and the closure of schools, which often correlates with increased social activity and public order challenges. While the overall rate matched the UK average, the distribution of offences diverged significantly, with Caldicot’s public order and anti-social behaviour rates far exceeding national benchmarks. This contrast underscores the importance of localised crime management strategies tailored to Caldicot’s specific demographic and seasonal patterns.