Caldicot Crime Rate March 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Caldicot’s March 2024 crime rate of 7.3 per 1,000 residents places it 5.2% below the UK average, a position that reflects both local characteristics and broader national trends. The area’s most prevalent crime type, violence and sexual offences (accounting for 40.3% of all reported crimes), is 9% above the UK average, a figure that may be influenced by the built-up nature of the community and the social dynamics of its population. Anti-social behaviour, the second most common category (15.3% of total crimes), is 5% below the national average, suggesting a relatively stable environment in this regard. Shoplifting, at 0.9 per 1,000, is 48% above the UK rate, a stark contrast that may be attributed to the presence of retail outlets in the built-up area. March’s transition to spring, with longer evenings and the clocks changing, likely plays a role in these patterns—increased foot traffic in local shops and public spaces may drive both retail crime and anti-social behaviour. However, the area’s lower rates of burglary and vehicle crime, which are 6% and 79% below the UK average respectively, indicate a generally safer environment for property owners. These findings align with Caldicot’s position as a small, rural built-up area where community cohesion and lower population density may contribute to reduced property crime, though targeted efforts may be needed to address the above-average rates of violent and retail crime.

March 2024 saw notable shifts in Caldicot’s crime profile. Theft from the person and possession of weapons both surged by 100%, reflecting a sudden spike in two previously unreported categories. This increase, while small in absolute terms, may signal evolving criminal activity or heightened awareness. Conversely, vehicle crime plummeted by 75% compared to February, a drop that could be linked to seasonal changes—longer evenings in March may reduce opportunities for such crimes. Shoplifting, at 0.9 per 1,000, remains 48% above the UK average, a persistent challenge for local retailers. The area’s violent crime rate (2.9 per 1,000) is 9% above the national average, a contrast to its 31% below average for criminal damage and arson. These divergent trends suggest a combination of factors, from local economic conditions to the impact of the spring transition on public behaviour.

Caldicot's crime rate in March 2024 (7.3 per 1,000 residents) marks a 14.4% increase compared to February's 6.4 per 1,000. This rise, though modest, reflects a shift in crime patterns across the built-up area. On average, 2 crimes were reported daily in March, a figure that may appear low to residents but underscores the need for sustained community vigilance. Over the course of the month, one crime occurred for every 137 residents, a ratio that places the area’s monthly exposure slightly below the UK average when scaled to population size. This statistic, while not alarmingly high, highlights the importance of contextualising local rates within both seasonal and demographic frameworks. The built-up nature of Caldicot, nested within Monmouthshire’s rural landscape, likely influences these figures—its proximity to urban centres may drive certain crime types, while its smaller population size may dampen others. Understanding these dynamics helps residents interpret the data without overestimating risk.