Caldicot Crime Rate April 2025 | Monthly Statistics

The crime mix in Caldicot during April 2025 reveals a distinct profile shaped by local dynamics. With a crime rate of 7.8 per 1,000 residents — 1.3% above the UK average — the area’s most prevalent crimes are violence and sexual offences (37.7% of all incidents), followed by anti-social behaviour (23.4%) and public order offences (13.0%). This suggests a focus on interpersonal conflicts and community disturbances, which may be influenced by the area’s small-town character and seasonal activity patterns. The Easter period, coupled with spring weather, likely increased foot traffic in public spaces, potentially contributing to the prominence of anti-social behaviour and public order incidents. Violence and sexual offences in Caldicot (2.9 per 1,000) are 11% above the UK average, while anti-social behaviour (1.8 per 1,000) is 35% above. These figures contrast sharply with shoplifting, which is 55% below the UK average (0.3 vs 0.7 per 1,000), reflecting limited retail footfall or effective local deterrence measures. The overall crime rate, though slightly higher than the UK average, remains relatively low compared to major urban centres, aligning with Caldicot’s status as a built-up area within Monmouthshire’s rural landscape. The seasonal context of April — a time of increased outdoor activity and community events — may have amplified certain types of crime, particularly those tied to public spaces and social interactions.

April 2025 saw significant month-on-month changes in Caldicot’s crime profile. Other crime incidents surged by 100%, jumping from zero to four reported cases, while possession of weapons also increased by 100% (from zero to one). Shoplifting rose by 50%, from two to three incidents, a modest increase that remains 55% below the UK average. These shifts highlight a crime mix skewed toward non-property-related offences, with violent and anti-social crimes dominating. The sharp rise in 'other crime' may reflect underreported or newly classified incidents, though no specific details are provided in the data. Meanwhile, anti-social behaviour (1.8 per 1,000) and public order offences (1.0 per 1,000) remain high compared to the UK average, with the latter being 85% above the national rate. This could be linked to Caldicot’s built-up area status, where community tensions or transient populations may contribute to such incidents. Conversely, shoplifting’s continued underperformance relative to the UK average may indicate effective local policing strategies or a lack of high-traffic retail zones. Residents might find the 55% gap in shoplifting rates particularly noteworthy, as it suggests a potential model for crime prevention in similar areas.

Caldicot’s crime rate in April 2025 (7.8 per 1,000) marked a 14.9% increase from the previous month’s 6.8 per 1,000, reflecting a notable upward trend. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately three crimes per day, a figure that, while modest, underscores the continuous presence of criminal activity. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 128 residents — a monthly exposure rate that, when contextualised against the area’s population of 9,855, suggests a manageable but persistent risk. This rate is slightly higher than the UK average, though the difference is marginal (7.8 vs 7.7 per 1,000). The population-scaled perspective reveals that while Caldicot’s crime rate is not drastically different from national trends, the local emphasis on violent and anti-social crimes creates a distinct profile. For example, the 35% gap between Caldicot’s anti-social behaviour rate (1.8 per 1,000) and the UK average (1.3 per 1,000) highlights a local challenge that may require targeted interventions. Residents living in Caldicot’s built-up areas, where public spaces are more densely used, may perceive these statistics differently than those in rural parts of Monmouthshire, where crime rates are generally lower. The comparison to the previous month’s rate also raises questions about whether temporary factors — such as Easter events or weather changes — influenced the upward movement in crime figures.